Football

Football analysis

Model probabilities, most likely score and data-driven analysis for every match.

A Poisson/Dixon-Coles model (attack and defence per team) with opponent-adjusted Elo. We estimate the 1·X·2, goals Over/Under and BTTS for each match, and compare them with the real market odds. How our model works → · Average goals and Over 2.5 rate: how to read them and how they relate → · See it on the live radar →

Russia Cup 1 match
Georgia Liga 3 1 match
Spain Copa Federacion 1 match
Finland Kolmonen 17 matches
Iceland 1 Deild 6 matches
Saudi Arabia Pro League 8 matches
Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand 2 matches
Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand
13/08, 20:00
IK Sleipner
Lindö FF
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.4%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.90Under 3 1.90
Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand
14/08, 20:00
FOC Farsta
Nykopings BIS
Recommendation
Under 3.75 goals
@2.00Odds
+10.7%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 2 2.63 2.38 ▼ -9.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.75 1.80Under 3.75 2.00
Iceland Premier League Women 3 matches
Brazil Copa Sergipe 2 matches
Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League 1 match
Costa Rica Segunda 2 matches
Iceland 4 Deild 3 matches
Paraguay Cup 1 match
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B 4 matches
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
13/08, 22:30
Cumbaya
CD Vargas Torres
Recommendation
Under 1.75 goals
@1.95Odds
+6.4%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 4.00 3.70 ▼ -7.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 1.75 1.85Under 1.75 1.95
Panama Liga Prom 5 matches
Panama First Division Women 1 match
Chile Primera B 3 matches
Brazil Paulista Women 1 match
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 1 match
USA College Championship Women 1 match
Mexico Liga de Expansion 5 matches
Australia NPL Queensland 6 matches
Australia New South Wales Premier League 8 matches
Australia NPL Victoria Women 7 matches
India Calcutta Football League 2 matches
India Calcutta Football League
14/08, 11:30
Coal India
Wari AC
Recommendation
Under 2.75 goals
@1.98Odds
+8.1%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.82Under 2.75 1.98
Australia Victoria Premier League 2 2 matches
Australia NPL Victoria 7 matches
Japan J-League 10 matches
Australia New South Wales League 2 3 matches
Australia Victoria Premier League 1 3 matches
Australia Queensland Premier League Women 5 matches
Australia Western Australia Premier League 6 matches
Australia Darwin Premier League 2 matches
Tanzania Premier League 3 matches
China Division 1 4 matches
China Super League 8 matches
Mozambique Mocambola 1 match
England Development League 2 1 match
Russia Premier League 8 matches
Uzbekistan PFL 2 matches
Belarus Premier League 2 matches
Poland III Liga 7 matches
UAE Pro League 4 matches
Russia Division 1 8 matches
Finland Veikkausliiga 8 matches
Finland Veikkausliiga
17/08, 17:00
IF Gnistan
FC Ilves
Recommendation
Under 3 goals
@1.91Odds
+6.8%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.93Under 3 1.91
Slovakia 2. Liga 8 matches
Ukraine Vyscha Liga 1 match
Lithuania II Lyga 4 matches
Finland Ykkosliiga 5 matches
Finland Ykkosliiga
15/08, 15:00
Jippo
SJK II
Recommendation
Under 2.75 goals
@1.83Odds
+6.2%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.96Under 2.75 1.83
Azerbaijan Premier League 1 match
Iraq Stars League 3 matches
Slovenia 2. SNL 2 matches
Bulgaria Second League 1 match
Poland I Liga 7 matches
Estonia Meistriliiga 5 matches
Poland II Liga 5 matches
Czechia 2. Liga 8 matches
Czechia 2. Liga
15/08, 17:00
FK Pribram
SK Prostejov
Recommendation
Under 2.5 goals
@1.95Odds
+6.2%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 4.33 4.00 ▼ -7.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.85Under 2.5 1.95
Coppa Italia 15 matches
Coppa Italia
14/08, 20:45
Monza
Avellino
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.85Odds
+9.2%Value
61%prob.
@1.66Down to
1X2 1 1.48 1.61 ▲ +9.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.85Under 2.5 1.95
Coppa Italia
14/08, 21:15
Fiorentina
Benevento
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.7%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 8.50 13.00 ▲ +52.9%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.98Under 2.5 1.82
Coppa Italia
15/08, 18:00
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Recommendation
Over 2.25 goals
@1.95Odds
+7.1%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.95Under 2.25 1.85
Coppa Italia
15/08, 20:45
Venezia
Modena
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.93Odds
+6.8%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 2 4.50 5.25 ▲ +16.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.93Under 2.5 1.88
Coppa Italia
16/08, 21:15
Lazio
Mantova
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.85Odds
+6.1%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 2 9.00 7.50 ▼ -16.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.85Under 2.75 1.95
Austria Regionalliga Ost 5 matches
Austria Regionalliga West 1 match
Armenia Premier League 1 match
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs 1 match
Czechia 4. Liga 2 matches
Malta Premier League 2 matches
Norway Toppserien Women 1 match
Denmark Division 2 6 matches
Denmark Division 2
14/08, 19:00
Nykobing
B93 Copenhagen
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.90Odds
+8.9%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 1 2.05 2.35 ▲ +14.6%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.90Under 2.75 1.90
Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland 1 match
Germany Bundesliga II 9 matches
Germany Bundesliga II
15/08, 13:00
Hertha Berlin
Heidenheim
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.80Odds
+7.2%Value
60%prob.
@1.69Down to
1X2 2 3.20 3.00 ▼ -6.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.80Under 2.75 2.00
Germany Bundesliga II
16/08, 13:30
Dynamo Dresden
Darmstadt
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@2.04Odds
+6.6%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 2 3.20 3.30 ▲ +3.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 2.04Under 3 1.81
Germany Bundesliga II
16/08, 13:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Cottbus
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.98Odds
+7.7%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 2 3.90 4.33 ▲ +11.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.98Under 3 1.82
Austria 2. Liga 8 matches
Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland 2 matches
Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland 4 matches
Denmark Superligaen 6 matches
Denmark Superligaen
16/08, 18:00
Randers FC
FC Copenhagen
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.98Odds
+7.1%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 1 3.90 4.10 ▲ +5.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.98Under 2.75 1.82
France Ligue 3 9 matches
France Ligue 3
14/08, 19:00
US Orleans 45
Rouen
Recommendation
Under 2.5 goals
@1.80Odds
+6.8%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 2.00Under 2.5 1.80
Sweden Superettan 8 matches
Sweden Superettan
14/08, 19:00
IK Brage
Orebro SK
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@2.02Odds
+6.7%Value
53%prob.
@1.91Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 2.02Under 3 1.77
Norway Eliteserien 7 matches
Sweden Allsvenskan 8 matches
Denmark Division 1 6 matches
Portugal Segunda Liga 9 matches
Portugal Segunda Liga
16/08, 16:30
Leixoes
Tondela
Recommendation
Over 2.25 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.7%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 1 2.38 2.45 ▲ +3.2%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 2.00Under 2.25 1.80
Austria Regionalliga South 4 matches
Germany 3. Liga 9 matches
Germany 3. Liga
15/08, 16:30
Verl
MSV Duisburg
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.78Odds
+8.8%Value
62%prob.
@1.63Down to
1X2 1 2.40 3.00 ▲ +25%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.78Under 2.75 1.99
Austria Landesliga 7 matches
Austria Regionalliga North 1 match
Sweden 1.div Södra 1 match
Denmark Division 3 6 matches
Switzerland Division 1 Women 1 match
Sweden 1.div Norra 1 match
Slovenia 3. SNL 1 match
Sweden Damallsvenskan 1 match
Austria Bundesliga 6 matches
Austria League 1 Women 1 match
South Africa Premier 7 matches
South Africa Premier
16/08, 17:30
TS Galaxy
Golden Arrows
Recommendation
Under 2 goals
@2.05Odds
+6.7%Value
53%prob.
@1.91Down to
1X2 2 3.00 2.80 ▼ -6.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.75Under 2 2.05
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 9 matches
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
14/08, 20:00
FC Eindhoven
Maastricht
Recommendation
Under 3.25 goals
@1.81Odds
+6%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.98Under 3.25 1.81
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
14/08, 20:00
NAC
VVV
1X2 2 6.00 5.50 ▼ -8.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.80Under 3 2.00
Belgium First Division B 4 matches
Netherlands Eredivisie 9 matches
Netherlands Eredivisie
15/08, 16:30
Willem II
NEC
Recommendation
Under 3.25 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.1%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.82Under 3.25 1.98
Argentina Nacional B 19 matches
Uruguay Segunda 7 matches
Iceland 3 Deild 1 match
Iceland 2 Deild 2 matches
Croatia HNL 7 matches
Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur 1 match
Switzerland 1.Liga Classic 1 match
Serbia Prva Liga 3 matches
Bulgaria First League 8 matches
Spain Segunda 11 matches
Türkiye Super Lig 9 matches
Poland Ekstraklasa 9 matches
Türkiye 1 Lig 3 matches
Scotland League Cup 8 matches
France Ligue 2 9 matches
France Ligue 2
14/08, 20:45
Nancy
Montpellier
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.2%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.98Under 2.5 1.82
France Ligue 2
14/08, 20:45
Dijon
Pau
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.95Odds
+7.3%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.95Under 2.5 1.85
Belgium First Division A 9 matches
Belgium First Division A
15/08, 20:45
Genk
Westerlo
Recommendation
Under 3.25 goals
@1.80Odds
+6.2%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 2 4.33 4.75 ▲ +9.6%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 2.00Under 3.25 1.80
Wales Premier League 8 matches
Wales Premier League
14/08, 20:45
T.N.S.
Briton Ferry
Recommendation
Under 3.5 goals
@1.85Odds
+8.1%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 2 15.00 11.00 ▼ -26.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.95Under 3.5 1.85
England Northern Premier League 11 matches
England Northern Premier League
15/08, 16:00
Stockton Town
Leek Town
Recommendation
Under 2.5 goals
@1.82Odds
+6.8%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 2 3.20 3.70 ▲ +15.6%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.98Under 2.5 1.82
Northern Ireland Premier League Women 3 matches
Republic of Ireland FAI Cup 3 matches
England Championship 12 matches
England National League South 11 matches
England National League South
15/08, 16:00
Braintree Town
Chesham
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.3%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 1 2.00 2.25 ▲ +12.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.90Under 2.5 1.90
Bolivia Primera Division 8 matches
Portugal Primeira Liga 10 matches
Portugal Primeira Liga
15/08, 21:30
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Recommendation
Under 2.75 goals
@1.96Odds
+6.9%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 X 4.75 4.50 ▼ -5.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.85Under 2.75 1.96
Portugal Primeira Liga
16/08, 16:30
Nacional
Estoril
Recommendation
Under 2.5 goals
@1.96Odds
+6.2%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 2.70 2.50 ▼ -7.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.84Under 2.5 1.96
Portugal Primeira Liga
16/08, 21:30
Famalicao
Maritimo
Recommendation
Under 2.5 goals
@1.82Odds
+6.9%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 2.02Under 2.5 1.82
Iceland 1 Deild Women 2 matches
Paraguay Division Intermedia 2 matches
Peru Liga 1 15 matches
Paraguay Division Profesional 6 matches
Uruguay Clausura 8 matches
Uruguay Clausura
16/08, 23:30
Penarol
Central Espanol
Recommendation
Under 2.25 goals
@1.98Odds
+7%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 6.25 6.00 ▼ -4%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.81Under 2.25 1.98
Brazil Serie B 10 matches
Chile Liga de Primera 7 matches
Colombia Primera A 10 matches
Argentina Liga Profesional 15 matches
Argentina Liga Profesional
15/08, 21:45
Estudiantes LP
Gimnasia LP
Recommendation
Under 2 goals
@1.93Odds
+7.4%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 2 4.00 4.50 ▲ +12.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.88Under 2 1.93
USA NWSL Women 8 matches
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A 8 matches
Brazil Serie A1 Women 9 matches
Brazil Serie A1 Women
16/08, 16:00
Botafogo (W)
Sao Paulo (W)
Recommendation
Under 3 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.2%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 1 12.00 13.00 ▲ +8.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.80Under 3 2.00
Canada Premier League 4 matches
El Salvador Apertura 1 match
Costa Rica Primera Division 3 matches
Australia SA Premier League Women 2 matches
Australia Tasmania Super League Women 2 matches
Australia Tasmania Premier League 2 matches
Australia Capital Territory Premier League 4 matches
Australia Queensland Premier League 6 matches
Australia Queensland Premier League
15/08, 08:15
Capalaba FC
Robina City
Recommendation
Under 3.5 goals
@1.90Odds
+7.1%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 1 4.50 3.80 ▼ -15.6%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.90Under 3.5 1.90
Australia Western Australia State League 1 2 matches
Australia New South Wales League 1 4 matches
Australia South Australia State League 1 6 matches
Australia NPL Queensland Women 3 matches
Japan J2-League 5 matches
Australia South Australia Premier League 5 matches
South Korea K League 1 5 matches
South Korea K League 2 8 matches
England League 2 12 matches
England League 1 12 matches
Finland Ykkonen 6 matches
Scotland League One 4 matches
Scotland League One
15/08, 16:00
East Kilbride
Cove Rangers
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.98Odds
+7.7%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 2 6.00 5.25 ▼ -12.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.98Under 3 1.82
Scotland League Two 5 matches
Scotland League Two
15/08, 16:00
Annan Athletic
Clyde
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.80Odds
+6.4%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.80Under 2.5 2.00
Northern Ireland Premier 6 matches
England National League 12 matches
Norway Division 1 8 matches
Norway Division 1
16/08, 17:00
Raufoss
Asane
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.88Odds
+6.2%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 2 3.30 3.40 ▲ +3%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.88Under 3 1.90
England Isthmian Premier Division 10 matches
England Southern Premier League Central 11 matches
England Southern Premier League Central
15/08, 16:00
Banbury
Real Bedford
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.5%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 2.00Under 2.75 1.80
England National League North 12 matches
England Southern Premier League South 11 matches
England Southern Premier League South
15/08, 16:00
Bracknell Town
Malvern Town
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.98Odds
+8.9%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 X 3.60 3.75 ▲ +4.2%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.98Under 3 1.82
Czechia First League 8 matches
Czechia First League
15/08, 17:00
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
Recommendation
Over 2.75 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.1%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 1 2.20 2.10 ▼ -4.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.98Under 2.75 1.81
Hungary NB I 5 matches
Hungary NB I
15/08, 17:00
Ujpest
MTK Budapest
Recommendation
Over 3 goals
@1.83Odds
+7.1%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 2 3.40 3.25 ▼ -4.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.83Under 3 1.93
Hungary NB II 8 matches
Romania Liga I 6 matches
Slovakia Super Liga 6 matches
Slovenia Prva Liga 5 matches
Slovenia Prva Liga
16/08, 18:00
NK Brinje Grosuplje
NS Mura
Recommendation
Over 2.5 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.4%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 2 2.70 3.00 ▲ +11.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.98Under 2.5 1.82
Iceland Premier League 7 matches
Serbia Super Liga 7 matches
Spain La Liga 27 matches
Montenegro Prva Liga 5 matches
Brazil Serie A 10 matches
Brazil Serie C 10 matches
Brazil Serie C
16/08, 00:30
Santa Cruz FC
Maranhao
Recommendation
Under 2.25 goals
@1.75Odds
+7.7%Value
62%prob.
@1.63Down to
1X2 2 5.00 4.10 ▼ -18%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 2.05Under 2.25 1.75
Brazil Serie D 4 matches
USA USL Championship 11 matches
USA MLS 22 matches
Mexico Liga MX 8 matches
Australia Northern NSW Premier League 6 matches
Australia New South Wales NPL Women 3 matches
Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women 1 match
Community Shield 1 match
Lithuania A Lyga 4 matches
France Super Cup 1 match
Argentina Cup 3 matches