Football

Football analysis

Model probabilities, most likely score and data-driven analysis for every match.

A Poisson/Dixon-Coles model (attack and defence per team) with opponent-adjusted Elo. We estimate the 1·X·2, goals Over/Under and BTTS for each match, and compare them with the real market odds. How our model works → · Average goals and Over 2.5 rate: how to read them and how they relate → · See it on the live radar →

Brazil Serie A 15 matches
Brazil Serie A
IN PLAY 28/10, 23:30
Fluminense
Internacional
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.25 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.1%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 2 3.60 → 4.75 ▲ +31.9%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 2.00Under 2.25 1.85
Brazil Serie A
30/10, 00:00
Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@1.93Odds
+6.4%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 1 3.60 → 4.33 ▲ +20.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.93Under 2.75 1.93
Brazil Serie A
04/11, 23:30
Flamengo
Gremio
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3 goals
@2.02Odds
+8.1%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.82Under 3 2.02
Colombia Primera A 8 matches
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 1 match
Suriname Major League 1 match
Nicaragua Apertura 3 matches
USA MLS 14 matches
Chile Liga de Primera 9 matches
Chile Liga de Primera
01/11, 22:00
O'Higgins
Nublense
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.25 goals
@2.00Odds
+7.4%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 2.00Under 2.25 1.80
Venezuela Primera Division 4 matches
Venezuela Primera Division
01/11, 00:30
Caracas
Monagas
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@1.88Odds
+6.8%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.93Under 2.75 1.88
Peru Liga 1 5 matches
Peru Liga 1
29/10, 01:00
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.25 goals
@1.84Odds
+6.1%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 2 7.00 → 10.00 ▲ +42.9%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.97Under 3.25 1.84
Guatemala Liga Nacional 5 matches
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso 1 match
Colombia Primera B 3 matches
Mexico Liga MX 10 matches
Mongolia Premier League 2 matches
India Bangalore Super Division 4 matches
Uzbekistan 1st Division 1 match
Kenya Premier League 2 matches
Tanzania Premier League 2 matches
Saudi Arabia Division 2 3 matches
Saudi Arabia Division 2
29/10, 13:10
Al Shoalah
Al Washm
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.25 goals
@1.95Odds
+10.5%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.95Under 2.25 1.85
Saudi Arabia Division 2
29/10, 13:35
Jerash
Al Qous
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.25 goals
@1.80Odds
+6.2%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.80Under 2.25 2.00
Albania Championship 2 matches
Egypt Division 2 7 matches
Montenegro Prva Liga 2 matches
Jordan Division 1 2 matches
Iraq Stars League 8 matches
Poland III Liga 4 matches
Zimbabwe Premier Soccer League 1 match
Zanzibar Premier League 1 match
Tunisia League 1 4 matches
Tunisia League 1
29/10, 14:30
Club Africain
Bizertin
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2 goals
@1.93Odds
+6.1%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 6.00 → 6.50 ▲ +8.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.88Under 2 1.93
Egypt Division 1 5 matches
Panama Liga Prom 3 matches
UAE Pro League 3 matches
Jordan League 3 matches
Ivory Coast Premier Division 2 matches
Ivory Coast Premier Division
29/10, 19:00
ISCA
ASEC Mimosas
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2 goals
@1.82Odds
+6.1%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.98Under 2 1.82
Finland Veikkausliiga 2 matches
Finland Veikkausliiga
29/10, 18:00
KuPS Kuopio
IF Gnistan
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@2.00Odds
+6%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.81Under 2.75 2.00
Bulgaria Second League 8 matches
Israel Division 1 Women 2 matches
Slovenia Prva Liga 4 matches
Germany Bundesliga Women 1 match
Mauritania Division 1 1 match
Sweden Allsvenskan 6 matches
Saudi Arabia Pro League 8 matches
Israel Liga Alef South 2 matches
Israel Liga Alef North 3 matches
France Ligue 3 9 matches
Italy Serie A 8 matches
England National League Division 1 Women 1 match
Morocco GNF 1 6 matches
Panama First Division Women 1 match
Mexico Liga de Expansion 4 matches
Indonesia Super League 6 matches
Indonesia Super League
31/10, 09:30
Arema FC
Bali United
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3.25 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.1%Value
53%prob.
@1.91Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 2.00Under 3.25 1.80
Indonesia Championship 1 match
Australia A-League 6 matches
Australia A-League
31/10, 07:00
Melbourne City
Sydney FC
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.5 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.1%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 2 3.80 → 3.50 ▼ -7.9%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.90Under 2.5 1.90
Georgia Liga 3 2 matches
Singapore Premier League 4 matches
Hong Kong Premier League 1 match
Croatia 1.NL 8 matches
India Super League 5 matches
Qatar Stars League 2 matches
Bulgaria First League 7 matches
Russia Division 1 9 matches
Slovakia 2. Liga 8 matches
Czechia 2. Liga 8 matches
Poland Ekstraklasa 9 matches
Türkiye 1 Lig 10 matches
Türkiye Super Lig 7 matches
Croatia HNL 5 matches
Croatia HNL
31/10, 15:00
Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@1.93Odds
+6%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 9.00 → 7.50 ▼ -16.7%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.86Under 2.75 1.93
Slovakia 3. Liga 1 match
Germany Bundesliga II 5 matches
Austria 2. Liga 8 matches
Austria 2. Liga
30/10, 18:30
St Polten
Hertha Wels
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3 goals
@1.82Odds
+6.3%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 2 3.25 → 4.00 ▲ +23.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.98Under 3 1.82
France Ligue 1 8 matches
France Ligue 1
30/10, 19:00
Le Havre
PSG
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.5 goals
@2.02Odds
+8.4%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 1 10.00 → 12.00 ▲ +20%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.82Under 3.5 2.02
Denmark Division 1 6 matches
Denmark Division 1
31/10, 13:30
FC Fredericia
AB Copenhagen
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.5 goals
@1.87Odds
+9%Value
60%prob.
@1.69Down to
1X2 2 5.00 → 5.50 ▲ +10%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.92Under 3.5 1.87
Sweden Superettan 8 matches
Sweden Superettan
30/10, 19:00
IK Oddevold
IK Brage
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.75 goals
@1.81Odds
+7.2%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 2 4.20 → 3.80 ▼ -9.5%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.81Under 2.75 1.98
Germany 3. Liga 10 matches
Denmark Superligaen 6 matches
Norway Eliteserien 8 matches
Norway Eliteserien
01/11, 19:15
Valerenga
Tromso
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3 goals
@1.83Odds
+6.8%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.83Under 3 2.02
Czechia 3. Liga 11 matches
Sweden 1.div Södra 8 matches
Switzerland Challenge League 5 matches
Switzerland Challenge League
30/10, 20:15
Etoile Carouge
Kriens
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.25 goals
@1.79Odds
+6.2%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 2.00Under 3.25 1.79
Austria Bundesliga 6 matches
Romania Liga I 8 matches
Poland II Liga 8 matches
France Ligue 2 9 matches
France Ligue 2
31/10, 14:00
Annecy
Montpellier
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.5 goals
@1.88Odds
+6%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 1 3.10 → 2.88 ▼ -7.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.93Under 2.5 1.88
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 10 matches
Belgium First Division B 3 matches
Belgium First Division B
30/10, 20:00
RFC Seraing
RFC Liege
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.75 goals
@1.95Odds
+7%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.95Under 2.75 1.81
Scotland Championship 5 matches
Scotland Championship
30/10, 20:30
Stenhousemuir
Livingston
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.5 goals
@1.82Odds
+6.6%Value
59%prob.
@1.71Down to
1X2 1 4.10 → 3.70 ▼ -9.8%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.98Under 2.5 1.82
Poland I Liga 9 matches
Italy Serie C Group B 10 matches
Italy Serie C Group A 10 matches
Wales Championship South 6 matches
Republic of Ireland Premier Division 5 matches
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
30/10, 20:45
Shelbourne
Waterford FC
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.25 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.1%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.82Under 3.25 1.98
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
30/10, 20:45
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3 goals
@2.00Odds
+6%Value
53%prob.
@1.91Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.80Under 3 2.00
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
30/10, 20:45
Drogheda United
Galway United
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3 goals
@1.93Odds
+6.3%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 1 1.91 → 2.15 ▲ +12.6%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.88Under 3 1.93
Republic of Ireland Premier Division
30/10, 20:45
St Patricks
Bohemians Dublin
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@1.98Odds
+6.1%Value
54%prob.
@1.87Down to
1X2 2 3.40 → 3.25 ▼ -4.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.82Under 2.75 1.98
Northern Ireland Premier 6 matches
England League 2 12 matches
England League 2
31/10, 16:00
Salford City
Exeter
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.5 goals
@2.02Odds
+7.4%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.5 1.82Under 2.5 2.02
England National League 10 matches
England National League
31/10, 18:30
Boston Utd
Scunthorpe
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3 goals
@1.85Odds
+8.4%Value
60%prob.
@1.69Down to
1X2 2 2.40 → 2.30 ▼ -4.2%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.85Under 3 1.95
Belgium First Division A 6 matches
Wales Premier League 8 matches
Wales Premier League
30/10, 20:45
Colwyn Bay
Cambrian United
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3.25 goals
@1.93Odds
+6.1%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 2 7.00 → 5.50 ▼ -21.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.93Under 3.25 1.88
Spain La Liga 20 matches
Argentina Liga Profesional 16 matches
Argentina Liga Profesional
02/11, 23:00
Platense
Central Cordoba
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2 goals
@1.93Odds
+7.4%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 2 5.00 → 6.00 ▲ +20%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.93Under 2 1.88
England Championship 12 matches
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 3 matches
Portugal Primeira Liga 7 matches
Portugal Primeira Liga
31/10, 21:30
FC Porto
Estoril
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.25 goals
@1.87Odds
+7.4%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 X 7.50 → 6.00 ▼ -20%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 1.93Under 3.25 1.87
Portugal Primeira Liga
02/11, 21:15
Gil Vicente
Guimaraes
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.25 goals
@1.93Odds
+7%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 1 2.50 → 2.80 ▲ +12%
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.93Under 2.25 1.93
Bolivia Primera Division 8 matches
Bolivia Primera Division
02/11, 20:00
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2.75 goals
@1.98Odds
+8.8%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.75 1.82Under 2.75 1.98
Brazil Serie B 10 matches
Brazil Serie B
30/10, 23:30
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.5 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.1%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
1X2 X 9.50 → 11.00 ▲ +15.8%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.85Under 3.5 1.90
USA USL Championship 8 matches
Paraguay Division Profesional 6 matches
Costa Rica Primera Division 5 matches
Australia A-League Women 5 matches
Japan J2-League 10 matches
Japan Women Empowerment League 2 matches
Japan J-League 10 matches
South Korea K League 2 8 matches
Japan J3-League 8 matches
South Korea K League 1 6 matches
Hungary NB II 8 matches
Russia Premier League 8 matches
England Premier League 8 matches
England Premier League
31/10, 13:30
Chelsea
Man Utd
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.9%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
1X2 2 3.50 → 4.10 ▲ +17.1%
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.90Under 3 1.95
England League 1 12 matches
England Super League Women 4 matches
England Super League Women
01/11, 13:00
Arsenal (W)
Aston Villa (W)
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 4.25 goals
@1.91Odds
+10.5%Value
60%prob.
@1.69Down to
1X2 2 15.00 → 13.00 ▼ -13.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 4.25 1.86Under 4.25 1.91
Greece Super League 2 2 matches
Spain Segunda 11 matches
Israel Premier League 5 matches
Uruguay Clausura 8 matches
South Africa League Women 1 match
Italy Serie C Group C 10 matches
Italy Serie C Group C
31/10, 17:30
Cavese
AZ Picerno ASD
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 2.25 goals
@1.82Odds
+7.6%Value
60%prob.
@1.69Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 2.25 1.82Under 2.25 1.98
Czechia First League 8 matches
Cyprus Division 1 5 matches
Portugal Segunda Liga 5 matches
Wales Championship North 8 matches
Italy Serie B 5 matches
Germany Bundesliga I 6 matches
Germany Bundesliga I
31/10, 15:30
Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3.25 goals
@2.00Odds
+6.7%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.25 2.00Under 3.25 1.85
Slovakia Super Liga 6 matches
Hungary NB I 6 matches
Scotland Premiership 3 matches
Scotland Premiership
01/11, 14:00
Falkirk
Celtic
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 3.5 goals
@1.85Odds
+6.4%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 2.00Under 3.5 1.85
Scotland League One 5 matches
Scotland League Two 5 matches
England Southern Premier League South 11 matches
Sweden 1.div Norra 8 matches
England Southern Premier League Central 11 matches
England Isthmian Premier Division 11 matches
England Isthmian Premier Division
31/10, 16:00
Whitehawk
St Albans
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3 goals
@1.93Odds
+7.3%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.93Under 3 1.88
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 2 matches
England National League North 12 matches
England Northern Premier League 11 matches
England Northern Premier League
31/10, 16:00
Quorn
Warrington Town
Recommendation ⓘ
Over 3 goals
@1.85Odds
+6.8%Value
58%prob.
@1.74Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 3 1.85Under 3 1.95
England National League South 12 matches
Netherlands Eredivisie 9 matches
Netherlands Eredivisie
31/10, 21:00
Ajax
AZ
1X2 2 3.50 → 3.90 ▲ +11.4%
View analysis ↗
Over 3.5 1.98Under 3.5 1.82
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 4 matches
Serbia Super Liga 7 matches
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A 8 matches
Greece Super League 1 6 matches
Switzerland Super League 6 matches
Argentina Nacional B 21 matches
Argentina Nacional B
31/10, 19:00
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2 goals
@1.85Odds
+6.4%Value
57%prob.
@1.77Down to
1X2 1 8.00 → 12.00 ▲ +50%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.93Under 2 1.85
Argentina Nacional B
31/10, 19:00
CA San Telmo
Central Norte
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 2 goals
@2.00Odds
+7.4%Value
55%prob.
@1.84Down to
1X2 1 2.15 → 2.35 ▲ +9.3%
View analysis ↗
Over 2 1.80Under 2 2.00
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana 3 matches
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz 1 match
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi 1 match
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 1 match
Norway Division 1 8 matches
Norway Division 1
01/11, 17:00
Asane
Haugesund
Recommendation ⓘ
Under 4 goals
@1.90Odds
+6.2%Value
56%prob.
@1.81Down to
View analysis ↗
Over 4 1.90Under 4 1.90
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 1 match
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 1 match
Canada Premier League 2 matches
USA NWSL Women 8 matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League 1 match