Football · Denmark Division 1 · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Esbjerg vs AB Copenhagen

Team pages: Esbjerg · AB Copenhagen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Esbjerg1.37
AB Copenhagen1.64
1X2
31% 26% 43%
Esbjerg Draw AB Copenhagen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Esbjerg 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDLDDWDW
AB Copenhagen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Esbjerg 3–1–2 AB Copenhagen (6 last)
  • AB Copenhagen3-0Esbjerg
  • Esbjerg6-0AB Copenhagen
  • AB Copenhagen2-1Esbjerg
  • Esbjerg2-1AB Copenhagen
  • AB Copenhagen0-3Esbjerg
  • AB Copenhagen1-1Esbjerg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esbjerg 1485 · AB Copenhagen 1513
EsbjergDrawAB Copenhagen
Our model31%26%43%
Market32%25%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Esbjerg: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EsbjergAB Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.12.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Esbjerg 3–1–2 AB Copenhagen

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/26
Denmark Division 1
AB Copenhagen3-0
HT 1-0
Esbjerg
31/05/24
Denmark Division 2
Esbjerg6-0
HT 3-0
AB Copenhagen
14/04/24
Denmark Division 2
AB Copenhagen2-1
HT 0-0
Esbjerg
10/03/24
Denmark Division 2
Esbjerg2-1
HT 2-0
AB Copenhagen
02/09/23
Denmark Division 2
AB Copenhagen0-3
HT 0-1
Esbjerg
27/05/23
Denmark Division 2
AB Copenhagen1-1
HT 0-0
Esbjerg

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hvidovre IF 14950 271332
2 Vejle 14761 261627
3 FC Fredericia 14653 211023
4 AB Copenhagen 14635 211521
5 Aarhus Fremad 14464 121418
6 AaB 14374 171916
7 Hobro IK 14446 162416
8 Hillerød 14437 182115
9 Kolding IF 14365 172015
10 Esbjerg 14356 172414
11 HB Køge 14266 202612
12 Vendsyssel FF 14266 142412

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEsbjergAB Copenhagen
Hvidovre IF 1-1 D 1-1 D
FC Fredericia 2-1 W 1-3 L
Aarhus Fremad 0-0 D 2-0 W
AaB 3-3 D 0-2 L
HB Køge 2-2 D 3-2 W
Vendsyssel FF 0-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AB Copenhagen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esbjerg

LLLDLDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 33 W
31/10 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-1 73 D
24/10 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 2-1 14 W
16/10 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 23 D
10/10 AaB
Denmark Division 1
2-2 3-3 11 D
19/09 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-3 93 L
12/09 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-2 71 D
05/09 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-1 03 L
30/08 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-2 54 L
21/08 Vejle
Denmark Division 1
1-1 2-4 61 L

AB Copenhagen

DLLLWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
2-0 3-0 54 W
31/10 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-3 33 L
24/10 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 71 W
16/10 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-2 37 W
09/10 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-0 33 W
19/09 Esbjerg
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-0 53 W
12/09 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 46 L
05/09 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-2 36 L
29/08 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
0-2 1-2 112 L
22/08 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esbjerg vs AB Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AB Copenhagen win (43%). Probabilities: Esbjerg 31%, draw 26%, AB Copenhagen 43%.

How many goals are expected in Esbjerg vs AB Copenhagen?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Esbjerg 1.37 · AB Copenhagen 1.64), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Esbjerg vs AB Copenhagen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.