Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 22/11, 15:30

Prediction: FC Kosice vs MFK Skalica

Team pages: FC Kosice · MFK Skalica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

FC Kosice2.15

MFK Skalica1.27

1X2

56% 23% 21%

FC Kosice Draw MFK Skalica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kosice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWDDDLWL

MFK Skalica 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

FC Kosice 3–1–2 MFK Skalica (6 last)

MFK Skalica2-4FC Kosice
MFK Skalica3-1FC Kosice
FC Kosice2-0MFK Skalica
FC Kosice3-1MFK Skalica
MFK Skalica1-0FC Kosice
FC Kosice1-1MFK Skalica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kosice 1533 · MFK Skalica 1433

	FC Kosice	Draw	MFK Skalica
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kosice (rating 1533 vs 1433).
H2H favours FC Kosice: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kosice	MFK Skalica
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	0.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.2 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.69 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.06
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +7’	1.65	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +8’	1.69	4.06	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kosice 3–1–2 MFK Skalica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Skalica	2-4 HT 0-4	FC Kosice
05/05/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Skalica	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Kosice
04/04/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Kosice	2-0 HT 2-0	MFK Skalica
07/02/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Kosice	3-1 HT 2-0	MFK Skalica
20/09/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Skalica	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Kosice
08/12/24 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Kosice	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Skalica

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	14	12	2	0	42	9	38
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32	15	28
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37	27	28
4	FC Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28	18	25
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	14	6	2	6	23	24	20
6	FC Kosice	14	4	6	4	32	26	18
7	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
8	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14	27	14
9	KFC Komarno	14	2	7	5	13	17	13
10	MFK Ruzomberok	14	3	3	8	13	29	12
11	AS Trencin	14	2	4	8	14	30	10
12	MFK Skalica	14	2	4	8	15	28	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kosice	MFK Skalica
Dunajska Streda	2-3 L	1-6 L
AS Trencin	5-0 W	0-2 L
MSK Zilina	2-2 D	2-4 L
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	1-1 D	0-2 L
KFC Komarno	1-1 D	0-0 D
MFK Ruzomberok	2-0 W	0-1 L
FC Spartak Trnava	2-5 L	1-1 D
Dukla Banska Bystrica	3-0 W	2-3 L
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kosice (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kosice

DWLWDDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	2-3	1	3	L
31/10	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	3-0	5-0	2	2	W
28/10	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
25/10	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
18/10	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	11	4	D
10/10	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
19/09	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	5	10	W
12/09	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	2-5	5	6	L
06/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	3-0	3-0	4	0	W
29/08	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	2-2	5	8	D

MFK Skalica

LLLDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-4	2	1	L
01/11	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
24/10	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
17/10	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
20/09	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
12/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	2-3	4	5	L
05/09	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
30/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	1-6	4	2	L
22/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
15/08	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-4	2-4	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kosice vs MFK Skalica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kosice win (56%). Probabilities: FC Kosice 56%, draw 23%, MFK Skalica 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kosice vs MFK Skalica?

The model expects 3.41 goals (FC Kosice 2.15 · MFK Skalica 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kosice vs MFK Skalica?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.