Football · Japan J-League · 21/11, 06:00
Prediction: Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus
Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · Nagoya Grampus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Tokyo Verdy1.51
Nagoya Grampus1.05
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
Draw
Nagoya Grampus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Verdy
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Grampus
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Verdy
2–1–3
Nagoya Grampus
(6 last)
- Tokyo Verdy1-2Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus0-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy2-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy1-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus4-1Tokyo Verdy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nagoya Grampus: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Verdy 2–1–3 Nagoya Grampus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/25 Japan FA Cup | Tokyo Verdy | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 05/07/25 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 15/03/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 11/08/24 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 22/06/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 24/09/17 Japan J2-League | Nagoya Grampus | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
Standings · Japan J-League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF Utd Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Verdy | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Tokyo | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Cerezo Osaka | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Vissel Kobe | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tokyo Verdy (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Verdy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/10 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Nagoya Grampus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 21/10 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokyo Verdy win (47%). Probabilities: Tokyo Verdy 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Tokyo Verdy 1.51 · Nagoya Grampus 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.