Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 21/11, 14:00

Prediction: Kayserispor vs Sariyer

Team pages: Kayserispor · Sariyer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Kayserispor2.02

Sariyer1.08

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Kayserispor Draw Sariyer

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kayserispor 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDDWL

Sariyer 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLDLLD

Head-to-head

Kayserispor 1–0 Sariyer (1 last)

Sariyer2-7Kayserispor

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayserispor (rating 1557 vs 1471).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kayserispor	Sariyer
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.79

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.48
X	4.32 → 4.32	Pinn 4.32
2	6.25 → 6.25	Pinn 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +6’	1.48	4.32	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayserispor 1–0–0 Sariyer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/12/15 Türkiye Cup	Sariyer	2-7 HT 0-4	Kayserispor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	30	12	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	33	11	30
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	14	8	4	2	19	11	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	19	13	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	27	24	24
6	Keciorengucu	14	6	5	3	26	18	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	18	13	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	20	21	20
9	Fatih Karagumruk	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	20	18	18
11	Muglaspor	14	4	6	4	18	25	18
12	Umraniyespor	13	4	5	4	16	12	17
13	Sariyer	14	4	5	5	15	19	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	17	23	16
15	Bandirmaspor	14	3	5	6	17	17	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	15	25	14
17	Manisa BBSK	14	3	4	7	21	24	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	17	23	13
19	Istanbulspor	14	2	2	10	12	33	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	6	28	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kayserispor	Sariyer
Umraniyespor	1-2 L	1-1 D
Pendikspor	2-2 D	2-0 W
Fatih Karagumruk	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sariyer (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayserispor

DWWWWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
02/11	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	6-0	1	1	W
25/10	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
18/10	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
14/10	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-0	1	1	W
10/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-2	6	8	W
20/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
14/09	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-0	7	0	W
07/09	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
02/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	6	D

Sariyer

WLDWDLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
31/10	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
24/10	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
17/10	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
13/10	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	1-4	7	3	L
09/10	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
19/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
11/09	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
05/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
01/09	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayserispor vs Sariyer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kayserispor win (58%). Probabilities: Kayserispor 58%, draw 23%, Sariyer 19%.

How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Sariyer?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Kayserispor 2.02 · Sariyer 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kayserispor vs Sariyer?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.