Football · France Ligue 3 · 21/11, 14:45

Prediction: FC Fleury 91 vs Rouen

Team pages: FC Fleury 91 · Rouen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
FC Fleury 911.27
Rouen1.43
1X2
32% 28% 40%
FC Fleury 91 Draw Rouen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
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Rouen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91 0–2–2 Rouen (4 last)
  • FC Fleury 911-2Rouen
  • Rouen0-0FC Fleury 91
  • FC Fleury 910-0Rouen
  • Rouen2-0FC Fleury 91
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fleury 91 1488 · Rouen 1568
FC Fleury 91DrawRouen
Our model32%28%40%
Market32%28%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1488 vs 1568).
  • H2H favours Rouen: 2-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Fleury 91Rouen
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.42 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.32.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.54.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 0–2–2 Rouen

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
France Ligue 3
FC Fleury 911-2
HT 0-0
Rouen
08/08/25
France Ligue 3
Rouen0-0
HT 0-0
FC Fleury 91
12/09/20
France National 2
FC Fleury 910-0
HT 0-0
Rouen
19/10/19
France National 2
Rouen2-0
HT 1-0
FC Fleury 91

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Fleury 91Rouen
Concarneau 0-2 L 2-1 W
Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 D 1-3 L
Bourg-Peronnas 1-0 W 2-0 W
Caen 3-2 W 2-3 L
Aubagne Air Bel 1-2 L 1-0 W
Thionville FC 1-1 D 4-0 W
Valenciennes 2-1 W 1-1 D
Villefranche 6-1 W 2-0 W
US Quevilly 1-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 3 L 6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rouen (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fleury 91

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 69 L
31/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 44 D
17/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 136 W
03/10 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 03 W
26/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 65 L
19/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 86 D
12/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-1 2-1 58 W
05/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
3-0 6-1 26 W
29/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-2 46 L
20/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 58 L

Rouen

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 48 W
31/10 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
2-1 2-1 46 W
17/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-3 103 L
03/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 63 W
24/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-3 2-3 37 L
19/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 73 W
12/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 28 W
04/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 106 D
29/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 95 W
20/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
2-0 3-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 vs Rouen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rouen win (40%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 32%, draw 28%, Rouen 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 vs Rouen?

The model expects 2.7 goals (FC Fleury 91 1.27 · Rouen 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 vs Rouen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.