Football · Japan J-League · 21/11, 07:00

Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Avispa Fukuoka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Kawasaki Frontale2.24

Avispa Fukuoka1.03

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Kawasaki Frontale Draw Avispa Fukuoka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kawasaki Frontale 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWWLL

Avispa Fukuoka 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLLLD

Head-to-head

Kawasaki Frontale 4–1–1 Avispa Fukuoka (6 last)

Kawasaki Frontale2-5Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka1-2Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale3-1Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka1-1Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale4-2Avispa Fukuoka
Kawasaki Frontale4-2Avispa Fukuoka

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawasaki Frontale (rating 1535 vs 1408).
H2H favours Kawasaki Frontale: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kawasaki Frontale	Avispa Fukuoka
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.9	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.99

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.92 → 1.92	Pinn 1.92
X	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63
2	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14	1.92	3.63	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawasaki Frontale 4–1–1 Avispa Fukuoka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/25 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	2-5 HT 2-2	Avispa Fukuoka
26/02/25 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	1-2 HT 1-1	Kawasaki Frontale
08/12/24 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	3-1 HT 2-0	Avispa Fukuoka
06/05/24 Japan J-League	Avispa Fukuoka	1-1 HT 0-0	Kawasaki Frontale
20/10/23 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	4-2 HT 1-1	Avispa Fukuoka
08/10/23 Japan FA Cup	Kawasaki Frontale	4-2 HT 1-1	Avispa Fukuoka

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kawasaki Frontale	Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama	2-1 W	2-1 W
Mito Hollyhock	1-0 W	1-1 D
Shimizu S-Pulse	3-1 W	0-1 L
Machida Zelvia	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kawasaki Frontale (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kawasaki Frontale

LWWDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
01/11	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	1-3	2-4	4	4	L
25/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
21/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
11/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	3	4	D
12/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
02/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	0	L

Avispa Fukuoka

LDLLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
01/11	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
24/10	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
21/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
18/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
10/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
19/09	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
05/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/09	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	2-1	2-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kawasaki Frontale win (64%). Probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale 64%, draw 21%, Avispa Fukuoka 15%.

How many goals are expected in Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Kawasaki Frontale 2.24 · Avispa Fukuoka 1.03), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.