Football · Scotland Premiership · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd

Team pages: Hibernian · Dundee Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Hibernian1.75

Dundee Utd1.2

1X2

50% 25% 26%

Hibernian Draw Dundee Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hibernian 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLLDW

Dundee Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDWDD

Head-to-head

Hibernian 3–2–1 Dundee Utd (6 last)

Dundee Utd1-0Hibernian
Hibernian3-2Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd1-1Hibernian
Hibernian3-3Dundee Utd
Hibernian3-1Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd1-3Hibernian

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hibernian 1500 · Dundee Utd 1519

	Hibernian	Draw	Dundee Utd
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hibernian: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hibernian	Dundee Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 6.2	3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.94 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.64

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:59 +25’	1.83	3.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +5’	1.94	3.87	3.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian 3–2–1 Dundee Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/10/26 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-0 HT 1-0	Hibernian
04/02/26 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-2 HT 1-0	Dundee Utd
20/12/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-1 HT 1-1	Hibernian
13/09/25 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-3 HT 1-2	Dundee Utd
03/05/25 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-1 HT 2-0	Dundee Utd
26/02/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-3 HT 1-1	Hibernian

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	13	10	1	2	28	10	31
2	Rangers	12	8	3	1	21	9	27
3	Falkirk	13	6	3	4	20	14	21
4	Hearts	12	6	2	4	26	22	20
5	Dundee	12	5	2	5	18	15	17
6	Dundee Utd	12	4	5	3	17	17	17
7	St Johnstone	13	4	5	4	17	20	17
8	St Mirren	13	4	2	7	12	22	14
9	Motherwell	13	3	4	6	15	21	13
10	Hibernian	12	3	2	7	15	17	11
11	Aberdeen	12	3	2	7	12	18	11
12	Kilmarnock	13	2	3	8	13	29	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hibernian	Dundee Utd
Aberdeen	4-0 W	3-2 W
St Mirren	1-1 D	3-0 W
Celtic	1-2 L	2-2 D
Falkirk	1-2 L	1-1 D
Kilmarnock	0-1 L	4-0 W
St Johnstone	1-2 L	1-1 D
Dundee	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dundee Utd (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hibernian

WLLLDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-0	4-0	6	2	W
28/10	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	Celtic Scotland Premiership	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
17/10	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
10/10	Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
19/09	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/09	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-1	15	3	L
06/09	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	1-2	1-2	7	1	L
03/09	Hearts Scotland Premiership	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
30/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-1	5	2	W

Dundee Utd

LWLDWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	1-1	1-1	13	4	D
28/10	Celtic Scotland Premiership	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
24/10	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	2-1	3-2	3	1	W
17/10	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
10/10	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
19/09	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
05/09	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	14	5	D
02/09	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
29/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	4-0	5	6	W
22/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian win (50%). Probabilities: Hibernian 50%, draw 25%, Dundee Utd 26%.

How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Hibernian 1.75 · Dundee Utd 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.