Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 22/11, 14:00

Prediction: Konyaspor vs Besiktas

Team pages: Konyaspor · Besiktas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Konyaspor0.88

Besiktas1.8

1X2

17% 25% 58%

Konyaspor Draw Besiktas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Konyaspor 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDLWLL

Besiktas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWDW

Head-to-head

Konyaspor 2–4 Besiktas (6 last)

Besiktas0-1Konyaspor
Besiktas2-1Konyaspor
Konyaspor0-2Besiktas
Konyaspor1-0Besiktas
Besiktas2-0Konyaspor
Besiktas2-0Konyaspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Konyaspor 1455 · Besiktas 1547

	Konyaspor	Draw	Besiktas
Our model	17%	25%	58%
Market	17%	24%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Besiktas (rating 1455 vs 1547).
H2H favours Besiktas: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Konyaspor	Besiktas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.25

X3.80

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.02

2 (-0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.09 ★
2	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.64

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +25’	5.25	3.80	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +7’	5.06	4.09	1.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Konyaspor 2–0–4 Besiktas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Türkiye Cup	Besiktas	0-1 HT 0-0	Konyaspor
31/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Besiktas	2-1 HT 1-1	Konyaspor
22/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Konyaspor	0-2 HT 0-1	Besiktas
15/03/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Konyaspor	1-0 HT 1-0	Besiktas
20/10/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Besiktas	2-0 HT 2-0	Konyaspor
28/02/24 Türkiye Cup	Besiktas	2-0 HT 1-0	Konyaspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	9	1	1	27	15	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	26	8	25
3	Amedspor	11	7	2	2	28	15	23
4	Besiktas	11	7	1	3	23	12	22
5	Kasimpasa	11	5	5	1	17	11	20
6	Fenerbahce	11	6	1	4	29	10	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	6	1	4	13	9	19
8	Istanbul Basaksehir	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
9	Corum Belediyespor	11	5	1	5	21	21	16
10	Goztepe	11	4	3	4	22	19	15
11	Caykur Rizespor	11	4	2	5	13	16	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	4	2	5	10	17	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	9	18	12
14	Genclerbirligi	11	3	2	6	12	21	11
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	6	14	8
16	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	11	2	2	7	9	19	8
17	Samsunspor	11	2	1	8	11	26	7
18	Eyupspor	11	1	0	10	3	30	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Konyaspor	Besiktas
Genclerbirligi	2-0 W	3-0 W
Amedspor	0-1 L	2-3 L
Istanbul Basaksehir	0-0 D	2-0 W
Kasimpasa	0-0 D	2-2 D
Trabzonspor	1-0 W	0-2 L
Erzurumspor FK	0-1 L	3-0 W
Kocaelispor	1-2 L	2-1 W
Fenerbahce	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Besiktas (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Konyaspor

LLLWDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
30/10	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
25/10	Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
17/10	Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
11/10	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
18/09	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
12/09	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
05/09	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
29/08	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	1-3	2-4	3	3	L

Besiktas

LWWWLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
01/11	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
26/10	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/10	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
11/10	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
20/09	Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	2-3	10	14	L
11/09	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	3-0	10	3	W
05/09	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
31/08	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	6-2	8	5	W
23/08	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	7	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Konyaspor vs Besiktas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Besiktas win (58%). Probabilities: Konyaspor 17%, draw 25%, Besiktas 58%.

How many goals are expected in Konyaspor vs Besiktas?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Konyaspor 0.88 · Besiktas 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Besiktas?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.