Prediction: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol
Team pages: Athletic Bilbao · Espanyol
- Espanyol2-0Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao1-2Espanyol
- Espanyol1-1Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao4-1Espanyol
- Espanyol1-2Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao1-0Espanyol
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athletic Bilbao (rating 1540 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Athletic Bilbao: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletic Bilbao | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Bilbao 3–1–2 Espanyol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 22/12/25 Spain La Liga | Athletic Bilbao | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Espanyol |
| 16/02/25 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 19/10/24 Spain La Liga | Athletic Bilbao | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Espanyol |
| 08/04/23 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 18/01/23 Spain Copa del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Espanyol |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletic Bilbao | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Elche | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Madrid | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sevilla | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletic Bilbao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/08 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
Espanyol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Bilbao win (59%). Probabilities: Athletic Bilbao 59%, draw 25%, Espanyol 16%.
How many goals are expected in Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Athletic Bilbao 1.72 · Espanyol 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.