Football · Czechia First League · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Banik Ostrava vs FK Teplice

Team pages: Banik Ostrava · FK Teplice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Banik Ostrava1.22

FK Teplice1.17

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Banik Ostrava Draw FK Teplice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Banik Ostrava 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLDLW

FK Teplice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLDWL

Head-to-head

Banik Ostrava 3–1–2 FK Teplice (6 last)

FK Teplice2-1Banik Ostrava
FK Teplice1-0Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava1-1FK Teplice
Banik Ostrava2-0FK Teplice
FK Teplice2-3Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava4-1FK Teplice

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Teplice (rating 1479 vs 1526).
H2H favours Banik Ostrava: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banik Ostrava	FK Teplice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.10
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	3.24 → 3.24	Pinn 3.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +8’	2.10	3.64	3.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Ostrava 3–1–2 FK Teplice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	2-1 HT 2-0	Banik Ostrava
22/11/25 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	1-0 HT 1-0	Banik Ostrava
17/09/25 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Teplice
22/02/25 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Teplice
21/09/24 Czechia First League	FK Teplice	2-3 HT 1-1	Banik Ostrava
31/03/24 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	4-1 HT 2-0	FK Teplice

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	14	10	4	0	36	8	34
2	Slovan Liberec	13	8	2	3	16	8	26
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
4	Sparta Prague	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	7	3	4	22	20	24
6	FK Teplice	14	6	3	5	22	22	21
7	FK Jablonec	14	6	3	5	16	18	21
8	Viktoria Plzen	14	5	5	4	29	22	20
9	Bohemians 1905	14	5	5	4	15	15	20
10	FC Brno	14	6	2	6	17	22	20
11	Hradec Kralove	14	5	3	6	17	18	18
12	Pardubice	14	5	2	7	19	20	17
13	Banik Ostrava	13	4	2	7	10	23	14
14	SK Artis Brno	14	2	4	8	15	28	10
15	Slovacko	14	2	4	8	13	26	10
16	FC Trinity Zlin	14	0	3	11	11	27	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banik Ostrava	FK Teplice
FC Brno	3-1 W	0-2 L
Slovacko	2-2 D	3-1 W
Pardubice	1-2 L	1-4 L
FK Jablonec	0-3 L	2-0 W
Mlada Boleslav	0-4 L	0-1 L
Sigma Olomouc	1-0 W	1-1 D
SK Artis Brno	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Ostrava (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banik Ostrava

WWLLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Brno Czechia First League	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
01/11	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-0	0-4	7	3	L
18/10	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
10/10	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
13/09	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
09/09	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/09	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-2	0-4	8	6	L
29/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

FK Teplice

LWWLWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Pardubice Czechia First League	1-2	1-4	8	5	L
31/10	Slovacko Czechia First League	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
24/10	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
17/10	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
11/10	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
20/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
13/09	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
30/08	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/08	FC Brno Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banik Ostrava vs FK Teplice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Banik Ostrava win (36%). Probabilities: Banik Ostrava 36%, draw 30%, FK Teplice 34%.

How many goals are expected in Banik Ostrava vs FK Teplice?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Banik Ostrava 1.22 · FK Teplice 1.17), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Banik Ostrava vs FK Teplice?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.