Football · USA MLS · 22/11, 00:00

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · Columbus Crew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Inter Miami CF2.14

Columbus Crew1.25

1X2

57% 21% 21%

Inter Miami CF Draw Columbus Crew

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWLDWD

Columbus Crew 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 3–1–2 Columbus Crew (6 last)

Columbus Crew2-1Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF2-2Columbus Crew
Inter Miami CF5-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew0-1Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew2-3Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew3-2Inter Miami CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1539 · Columbus Crew 1587

	Inter Miami CF	Draw	Columbus Crew
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	58%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Columbus Crew (rating 1539 vs 1587).
H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	Columbus Crew
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.1	2.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.66
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.64 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.2% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:27 +7’	1.61	4.75	4.33
14:57 +21’	1.61	4.50▼	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +9’	1.66	4.64	4.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 3–1–2 Columbus Crew

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/09/26 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-1 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF
02/08/26 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-2 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
01/06/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	5-1 HT 3-0	Columbus Crew
19/04/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF
03/10/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-3 HT 0-2	Inter Miami CF
14/08/24 Leagues Cup	Columbus Crew	3-2 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	71	25	77
2	Inter Miami CF	34	16	12	6	80	59	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	55	47	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	64	54	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	15	9	10	66	51	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	66	52	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	59	52	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	63	78	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	67	75	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	48	62	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	49	45	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	52	67	39
13	Atlanta United	34	9	6	19	43	60	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	39	61	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	37	69	26

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	Columbus Crew
Charlotte FC	3-3 D	3-1 W
FC Cincinnati	2-2 D	2-0 W
New York Red Bulls	0-2 L	0-1 L
DC United	4-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Columbus Crew (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

DDLWWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Charlotte FC USA MLS	3-0	3-3	6	2	D
02/11	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
29/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
24/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
18/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
15/10	New York City FC USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/10	DC United USA MLS	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
28/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-2	1	11	L
21/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
13/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	5	D

Columbus Crew

LWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chicago Fire USA MLS	2-3	4-3	4	5	W
31/10	DC United USA MLS	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
24/10	Toronto FC USA MLS	2-0	4-2	4	2	W
18/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
15/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
11/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-2	2-3	11	5	L
28/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-1	9	11	W
20/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
13/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (57%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 57%, draw 21%, Columbus Crew 21%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.14 · Columbus Crew 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.