Football · Austria 2. Liga · 20/11, 18:30

Prediction: St Polten vs ASK Voitsberg

Team pages: St Polten · ASK Voitsberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

St Polten1.83

ASK Voitsberg1.28

1X2

49% 25% 26%

St Polten Draw ASK Voitsberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

St Polten 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLDDWD

ASK Voitsberg 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLLWLW

Head-to-head

St Polten 2–0 ASK Voitsberg (2 last)

St Polten3-0ASK Voitsberg
ASK Voitsberg0-2St Polten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Polten 1500 · ASK Voitsberg 1462

	St Polten	Draw	ASK Voitsberg
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Polten: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Polten	ASK Voitsberg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.3	3.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.90 ★
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +5’	1.85	3.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +12’	1.90	3.90	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Polten 2–0–0 ASK Voitsberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	3-0 HT 1-0	ASK Voitsberg
20/09/24 Austria 2. Liga	ASK Voitsberg	0-2 HT 0-0	St Polten

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Polten	ASK Voitsberg
Admira Wacker	2-2 D	2-3 L
Hertha Wels	2-1 W	6-2 W
SV Kapfenberg	1-1 D	4-0 W
First Vienna FC 1894	1-3 L	1-2 L
SW Bregenz	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Liefering	3-1 W	2-3 L
SV Austria Salzburg	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Wacker Innsbruck	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Blau Weiss Linz	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Polten

LLWWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
30/10	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
23/10	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
16/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	16	3	D
09/10	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
19/09	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	8	W
13/09	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
28/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
21/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L

ASK Voitsberg

DLLDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
31/10	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
23/10	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	4-1	6-2	14	3	W
16/10	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
11/10	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
19/09	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/09	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
28/08	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	7	L
23/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-5	8	3	L
15/08	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Polten vs ASK Voitsberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Polten win (49%). Probabilities: St Polten 49%, draw 25%, ASK Voitsberg 26%.

How many goals are expected in St Polten vs ASK Voitsberg?

The model expects 3.11 goals (St Polten 1.83 · ASK Voitsberg 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Polten vs ASK Voitsberg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.