Football · Belgium First Division A · 21/11, 20:45

Prediction: Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp

Team pages: Zulte-Waregem · Antwerp

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Zulte-Waregem1.73

Antwerp1.41

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Zulte-Waregem Draw Antwerp

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Zulte-Waregem 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWDWLLLLLL

Antwerp 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Zulte-Waregem 2–4 Antwerp (6 last)

Antwerp2-1Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem2-0Antwerp
Zulte-Waregem0-2Antwerp
Antwerp1-0Zulte-Waregem
Antwerp1-0Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem2-1Antwerp

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zulte-Waregem 1452 · Antwerp 1481

	Zulte-Waregem	Draw	Antwerp
Our model	44%	25%	30%
Market	44%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Antwerp: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zulte-Waregem	Antwerp
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.11
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.65
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.33 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:27 +7’	2.10	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +8’	2.11	3.65	3.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zulte-Waregem 2–0–4 Antwerp

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/12/25 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	2-1 HT 1-1	Zulte-Waregem
27/09/25 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	2-0 HT 0-0	Antwerp
31/03/23 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	0-2 HT 0-0	Antwerp
31/07/22 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-0 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem
19/03/22 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-0 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem
16/10/21 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	2-1 HT 0-1	Antwerp

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	11	9	2	0	30	7	29
2	Club Brugge	11	9	1	1	27	9	28
3	Gent	11	9	1	1	20	6	28
4	Charleroi	11	9	0	2	26	13	27
5	Anderlecht	11	6	2	3	14	12	20
6	Lommel	11	4	4	3	15	13	16
7	Genk	11	4	3	4	18	15	15
8	Standard Liege	11	4	3	4	18	16	15
9	Westerlo	11	4	2	5	26	30	14
10	OH Leuven	11	3	3	5	12	17	12
11	KV Mechelen	11	3	3	5	13	20	12
12	Sint-Truidense	11	3	2	6	22	22	11
13	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
14	Zulte-Waregem	11	3	2	6	13	20	11
15	SK Beveren	11	3	1	7	13	23	10
16	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	14	22	9
17	RAAL La Louviere	11	2	1	8	13	24	7
18	KV Kortrijk	11	1	1	9	4	23	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zulte-Waregem	Antwerp
Sint-Truidense	1-4 L	1-4 L
Club Brugge	2-4 L	1-3 L
Charleroi	0-1 L	3-0 W
KV Kortrijk	2-0 W	3-0 W
Westerlo	2-2 D	1-5 L
Union Saint Gilloise	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zulte-Waregem

DWDWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
30/10	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-4	2-4	2	5	L
24/10	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
10/10	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
19/09	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
13/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
06/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
22/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	1	3	W
15/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Antwerp

WDLLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Lommel Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-2	9	3	D
01/11	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
24/10	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
11/10	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-5	3	6	L
20/09	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
13/09	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
30/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-4	6	4	L
22/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	5	2	D
15/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zulte-Waregem win (44%). Probabilities: Zulte-Waregem 44%, draw 26%, Antwerp 30%.

How many goals are expected in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Zulte-Waregem 1.73 · Antwerp 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.