Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 21/11, 11:30

Prediction: Mardin 1969 vs Bandirmaspor

Team pages: Mardin 1969 · Bandirmaspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Mardin 19691.75

Bandirmaspor0.86

1X2

57% 26% 17%

Mardin 1969 Draw Bandirmaspor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Mardin 1969 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLWWD

Bandirmaspor 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDLLLL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mardin 1969 (rating 1522 vs 1444).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mardin 1969	Bandirmaspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74
X	3.77 → 3.77	Pinn 3.77
2	4.42 → 4.42	Pinn 4.42

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +1’	1.74	3.77	4.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	30	12	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	33	11	30
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	14	8	4	2	19	11	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	19	13	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	27	24	24
6	Keciorengucu	14	6	5	3	26	18	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	18	13	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	20	21	20
9	Fatih Karagumruk	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	20	18	18
11	Muglaspor	14	4	6	4	18	25	18
12	Umraniyespor	13	4	5	4	16	12	17
13	Sariyer	14	4	5	5	15	19	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	17	23	16
15	Bandirmaspor	14	3	5	6	17	17	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	15	25	14
17	Manisa BBSK	14	3	4	7	21	24	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	17	23	13
19	Istanbulspor	14	2	2	10	12	33	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	6	28	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mardin 1969	Bandirmaspor
Fatih Karagumruk	1-0 W	0-4 L
Bursaspor	2-1 W	0-3 L
76 Igdir Belediyespor	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bodrum FK	1-0 W	1-2 L
Sivasspor	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mardin 1969 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mardin 1969

DWLLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
01/11	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-1	11	5	W
26/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
19/10	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
15/10	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
11/10	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	2	10	W
20/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
13/09	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
07/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
02/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-2	6	5	D

Bandirmaspor

LWDLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-4	2	7	L
31/10	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	0-3	4	3	L
24/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
17/10	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
13/10	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
09/10	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
18/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
11/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
05/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	5-0	6-0	6	3	W
01/09	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mardin 1969 vs Bandirmaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mardin 1969 win (57%). Probabilities: Mardin 1969 57%, draw 26%, Bandirmaspor 17%.

How many goals are expected in Mardin 1969 vs Bandirmaspor?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Mardin 1969 1.75 · Bandirmaspor 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Bandirmaspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.