Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 20/11, 20:00

Prediction: FC Den Bosch vs VVV

Team pages: FC Den Bosch · VVV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

FC Den Bosch1.94

VVV1.51

1X2

47% 23% 30%

FC Den Bosch Draw VVV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Den Bosch 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDWDL

VVV 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWDL

Head-to-head

FC Den Bosch 3–1–2 VVV (6 last)

FC Den Bosch0-1VVV
VVV0-1FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch0-0VVV
VVV1-2FC Den Bosch
VVV2-3FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch1-2VVV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Den Bosch 1504 · VVV 1535

	FC Den Bosch	Draw	VVV
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Den Bosch: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Den Bosch	VVV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.07
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.46 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:17 +6’	1.95	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:58 +1’	1.88	4.01	3.42
21:41 +3’	1.89▲	4.07▲	3.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Den Bosch 3–1–2 VVV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	0-1 HT 0-0	VVV
30/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Den Bosch
18/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	0-0 HT 0-0	VVV
25/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Den Bosch
26/04/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	2-3 HT 0-1	FC Den Bosch
20/10/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-2 HT 1-0	VVV

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	15	12	2	1	46	16	38
2	Almere City FC	15	10	1	4	36	15	31
3	VVV	15	9	2	4	38	24	29
4	NAC	15	8	4	3	29	22	28
5	Roda JC	15	8	4	3	21	18	28
6	FC Emmen	15	8	1	6	28	30	25
7	FC Volendam	15	7	1	7	34	27	22
8	Maastricht	14	6	2	6	19	29	20
9	RKC	15	4	8	3	27	20	20
10	FC Den Bosch	15	5	4	6	24	26	19
11	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Top Oss	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
15	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
16	De Graafschap	14	4	3	7	18	29	15
17	FC Eindhoven	15	4	2	9	20	32	14
18	Helmond Sport	15	3	3	9	26	37	12
19	FC Dordrecht	15	3	3	9	19	36	12
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Den Bosch	VVV
FC Utrecht Reserves	1-1 D	3-1 W
Maastricht	2-2 D	2-1 W
Top Oss	2-1 W	3-1 W
AZ Reserves	1-0 W	4-4 D
FC Dordrecht	1-1 D	4-2 W
FC Volendam	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VVV (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Den Bosch

LWLDWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
07/11	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
01/11	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	5-0	6	0	W
23/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	9	4	D
16/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
09/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
03/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
27/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
18/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L

VVV

WWLWWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	15	7	L
06/11	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	12	2	D
31/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	4-2	2	5	W
16/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	4-4	7	7	D
09/10	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
04/10	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
26/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	1	L
18/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Den Bosch vs VVV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Den Bosch win (47%). Probabilities: FC Den Bosch 47%, draw 23%, VVV 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Den Bosch vs VVV?

The model expects 3.44 goals (FC Den Bosch 1.94 · VVV 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Den Bosch vs VVV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.