Football · Japan J-League · 20/11, 11:00

Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF Utd Chiba

Team pages: Kashiwa Reysol · JEF Utd Chiba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Kashiwa Reysol2.22

JEF Utd Chiba1.02

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Kashiwa Reysol Draw JEF Utd Chiba

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kashiwa Reysol 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLDWWW

JEF Utd Chiba 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLDDLDWW

Head-to-head

Kashiwa Reysol 3–1–2 JEF Utd Chiba (6 last)

JEF Utd Chiba0-0Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol4-2JEF Utd Chiba
JEF Utd Chiba2-1Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol2-1JEF Utd Chiba
JEF Utd Chiba0-3Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol1-2JEF Utd Chiba

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashiwa Reysol (rating 1598 vs 1472).
H2H favours Kashiwa Reysol: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kashiwa Reysol	JEF Utd Chiba
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.57
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	5.27 → 5.27	Pinn 5.27

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +9’	1.57	4.38	5.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashiwa Reysol 3–1–2 JEF Utd Chiba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 World Club Friendlies	JEF Utd Chiba	0-0	Kashiwa Reysol
23/05/26 Japan J-League	Kashiwa Reysol	4-2 HT 2-1	JEF Utd Chiba
07/03/26 Japan J-League	JEF Utd Chiba	2-1 HT 0-0	Kashiwa Reysol
31/01/26 World Club Friendlies	Kashiwa Reysol	2-1 HT 1-0	JEF Utd Chiba
09/02/25 World Club Friendlies	JEF Utd Chiba	0-3 HT 0-2	Kashiwa Reysol
18/02/24 World Club Friendlies	Kashiwa Reysol	1-2 HT 0-1	JEF Utd Chiba

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kashiwa Reysol	JEF Utd Chiba
Urawa Red Diamonds	4-0 W	2-3 L
Yokohama F-Marinos	0-2 L	0-0 D
Cerezo Osaka	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kashiwa Reysol

LLWWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
31/10	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
24/10	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	2-1	3-2	2	1	W
21/10	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
17/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
09/10	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	1-0	4-2	4	1	W
20/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	4-2	8	4	W
11/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-2	3-2	5	5	W
06/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
02/09	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	9	1	L

JEF Utd Chiba

LWDLDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
01/11	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
25/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
21/10	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
17/10	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
11/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
19/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
06/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF Utd Chiba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashiwa Reysol win (64%). Probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol 64%, draw 21%, JEF Utd Chiba 15%.

How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF Utd Chiba?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Kashiwa Reysol 2.22 · JEF Utd Chiba 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF Utd Chiba?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.