Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Oxford Utd vs Wycombe

Team pages: Oxford Utd · Wycombe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Oxford Utd1.49
Wycombe1.34
1X2
40% 27% 33%
Oxford Utd Draw Wycombe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oxford Utd 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWDWDW
Wycombe 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLWDDW
Head-to-head
Oxford Utd 0–3–3 Wycombe (6 last)
  • Wycombe0-0Oxford Utd
  • Oxford Utd2-2Wycombe
  • Wycombe2-0Oxford Utd
  • Oxford Utd0-1Wycombe
  • Wycombe2-0Oxford Utd
  • Oxford Utd0-0Wycombe
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oxford Utd 1569 · Wycombe 1559
Oxford UtdDrawWycombe
Our model40%27%33%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Wycombe: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oxford UtdWycombe
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.51.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.52.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.53.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oxford Utd 0–3–3 Wycombe

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/24
England League 1
Wycombe0-0
HT 0-0
Oxford Utd
28/10/23
England League 1
Oxford Utd2-2
HT 1-0
Wycombe
24/01/23
England League 1
Wycombe2-0
HT 2-0
Oxford Utd
08/10/22
England League 1
Oxford Utd0-1
HT 0-1
Wycombe
15/01/22
England League 1
Wycombe2-0
HT 1-0
Oxford Utd
11/09/21
England League 1
Oxford Utd0-0
HT 0-0
Wycombe

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 14851 281229
2 Stockport 15924 291529
3 Oxford Utd 13751 221126
4 Luton 14734 272124
5 Sheff Wed 14653 251423
6 Plymouth 15726 212223
7 Reading 15645 261822
8 Bradford 13643 10822
9 Milton Keynes Dons 14563 282221
10 Cambridge Utd 14563 212121
11 Leicester 13544 221919
12 Mansfield 13544 201819
13 Wycombe 13463 212318
14 Leyton Orient 13526 191417
15 Burton Albion 15456 202717
16 Stevenage 12444 171316
17 AFC Wimbledon 14446 102116
18 Notts County 12354 131414
19 Wigan 15429 132314
20 Blackpool 13337 172212
21 Doncaster 13337 142212
22 Peterborough 13247 112310
23 Barnsley 13238 13249
24 Bromley 13238 13339

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOxford UtdWycombe
Reading 2-0 W 2-2 D
Wigan 2-1 W 1-0 W
Notts County 2-1 W 2-0 W
Cambridge Utd 1-1 D 2-2 D
Burton Albion 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oxford Utd (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oxford Utd

WWDWDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/11 Reading
England League 1
0-0 2-0 56 W
31/10 Barnsley
England League 1
0-1 1-1 146 D
27/10 Stockport
England League 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
24/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
20/10 Wigan
England League 1
1-0 2-1 97 W
15/10 Mansfield
England League 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
10/10 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 2-1 49 W
19/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
12/09 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 3-0 22 W
05/09 Leicester
England League 1
1-0 4-0 52 W

Wycombe

LDWWDLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Burton Albion
England League 1
1-0 2-0 43 W
24/10 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-1 1-1 51 D
20/10 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 2-2 94 D
17/10 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 2-0 93 W
10/10 Luton
England League 1
0-2 1-4 42 L
26/09 Reading
England League 1
0-0 2-2 55 D
19/09 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 57 W
12/09 Leyton Orient
England League 1
2-1 3-2 93 W
05/09 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
2-0 3-3 53 D
01/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
1-2 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oxford Utd vs Wycombe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oxford Utd win (40%). Probabilities: Oxford Utd 40%, draw 27%, Wycombe 33%.

How many goals are expected in Oxford Utd vs Wycombe?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Oxford Utd 1.49 · Wycombe 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oxford Utd vs Wycombe?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.