Prediction: Spartans vs Dumbarton
Team pages: Spartans · Dumbarton
- Dumbarton3-0Spartans
- Dumbarton3-0Spartans
- Spartans2-0Dumbarton
- Dumbarton1-2Spartans
- Spartans1-2Dumbarton
- Spartans2-2Dumbarton
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Dumbarton: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartans | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 2–1–3 Dumbarton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Spartans |
| 07/03/26 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Spartans |
| 03/01/26 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dumbarton |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Spartans |
| 09/08/25 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dumbarton |
| 17/05/24 Scotland League One Play-Offs | Spartans | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Dumbarton |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Clyde | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Elgin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 6 | Stirling | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 18 |
| 7 | Dumbarton | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | Forfar | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartans | Dumbarton |
|---|---|---|
| Forfar | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Clyde | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Annan Athletic | 3-2 W | 0-5 L |
| Stranraer | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Edinburgh | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Stirling | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartans (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/11 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | D |
Dumbarton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/11 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Dumbarton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans win (53%). Probabilities: Spartans 53%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 23%.
How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Dumbarton?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Spartans 1.91 · Dumbarton 1.22), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartans vs Dumbarton?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.