Football · Serbia Super Liga · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs Partizan Belgrade

Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · Partizan Belgrade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

IMT Novi Belgrade1.08

Partizan Belgrade1.49

1X2

27% 27% 46%

IMT Novi Belgrade Draw Partizan Belgrade

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

IMT Novi Belgrade 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWWLDD

Partizan Belgrade 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLWWL

Head-to-head

IMT Novi Belgrade 2–2–2 Partizan Belgrade (6 last)

Partizan Belgrade1-2IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade1-0Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade5-1IMT Novi Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade1-1IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade0-0Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade5-2IMT Novi Belgrade

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1504 · Partizan Belgrade 1467

	IMT Novi Belgrade	Draw	Partizan Belgrade
Our model	26%	28%	45%
Market	27%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IMT Novi Belgrade	Partizan Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	2.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.5	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +34’	3.40	3.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 2–2–2 Partizan Belgrade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	1-2 HT 0-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
20/12/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-0 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
18/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	5-1 HT 3-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
16/12/24 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	1-1 HT 1-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
11/08/24 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-0 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
17/02/24 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	5-2 HT 2-0	IMT Novi Belgrade

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	15	14	1	0	38	6	43
2	Vojvodina	15	10	2	3	30	13	32
3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	14	9	2	3	24	12	29
4	FK Radnicki 1923	15	7	2	6	22	19	23
5	IMT Novi Belgrade	15	6	5	4	16	10	23
6	FK Radnik Surdulica	15	6	5	4	20	18	23
7	FK Cukaricki	15	6	4	5	21	21	22
8	FK Novi Pazar	15	5	4	6	15	16	19
9	Mladost Lucani	15	4	6	5	12	21	18
10	Partizan Belgrade	15	5	2	8	25	26	17
11	FK Macva Sabac	15	3	4	8	13	26	13
12	OFK Beograd	15	2	5	8	15	27	11
13	Radnicki Nis	14	2	2	10	10	25	8
14	FK Zemun	15	1	4	10	8	29	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IMT Novi Belgrade	Partizan Belgrade
FK Zemun	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Cukaricki	0-0 D	0-2 L
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-1 L	0-1 L
FK Novi Pazar	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-0 W	4-4 D
Vojvodina	1-1 D	2-3 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-1 L	1-2 L
OFK Beograd	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IMT Novi Belgrade

LWDLDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
01/11	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
18/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
10/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
13/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
07/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
30/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
22/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L

Partizan Belgrade

WLLDWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	10	7	L
01/11	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/10	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
24/10	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	12	5	L
18/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	8	10	L
11/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-3	4-4	5	8	D
13/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	2-3	8	12	L
06/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
31/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Partizan Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (46%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 27%, draw 27%, Partizan Belgrade 46%.

How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model expects 2.57 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 1.08 · Partizan Belgrade 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.