Football · England National League · 21/11, 18:30

Prediction: Yeovil vs Forest Green

Team pages: Yeovil · Forest Green

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Yeovil1.67

Forest Green1.74

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Yeovil Draw Forest Green

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeovil 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWLWLD

Forest Green 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDDLWD

Head-to-head

Yeovil 0–1–5 Forest Green (6 last)

Yeovil0-2Forest Green
Forest Green2-0Yeovil
Yeovil1-1Forest Green
Forest Green2-1Yeovil
Forest Green3-0Yeovil
Yeovil1-2Forest Green

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeovil 1535 · Forest Green 1504

	Yeovil	Draw	Forest Green
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forest Green: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeovil	Forest Green
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.4	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.59
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.99 ★
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:21 +11’	2.55	3.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +7’	2.66	3.90	2.33
01:21 +3’	2.63▼	3.90	2.35▲
16:28 +1’	2.59▼	3.99▲	2.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 0–1–5 Forest Green

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England National League	Yeovil	0-2 HT 0-1	Forest Green
16/08/25 England National League	Forest Green	2-0 HT 0-0	Yeovil
18/04/25 England National League	Yeovil	1-1 HT 1-0	Forest Green
01/01/25 England National League	Forest Green	2-1 HT 0-1	Yeovil
16/02/19 England League 2	Forest Green	3-0 HT 2-0	Yeovil
08/12/18 England League 2	Yeovil	1-2 HT 0-0	Forest Green

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	17	14	3	0	46	19	45
2	Harrogate Town	17	11	2	4	38	23	35
3	Southend	17	9	5	3	40	28	32
4	AFC Fylde	17	10	2	5	32	25	32
5	Yeovil	17	8	5	4	37	22	29
6	Carlisle	17	8	5	4	34	23	29
7	Worthing	17	8	5	4	33	26	29
8	Barrow	16	8	4	4	29	19	28
9	Altrincham	17	9	1	7	24	28	28
10	Halifax	17	7	4	6	29	21	25
11	Sutton Utd	17	7	3	7	20	23	24
12	AFC Hornchurch	17	8	0	9	20	27	24
13	Kidderminster	17	5	7	5	18	17	22
14	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
15	Aldershot	17	6	3	8	20	21	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Wealdstone	17	5	4	8	24	30	19
18	Eastleigh	17	5	4	8	20	27	19
19	Boston Utd	17	5	3	9	21	31	18
20	Tamworth	16	5	2	9	26	34	17
21	Hartlepool	17	5	1	11	19	28	16
22	Solihull Moors	17	5	1	11	21	40	16
23	Scunthorpe	16	3	2	11	20	31	11
24	Gateshead	16	1	1	14	9	37	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeovil	Forest Green
AFC Hornchurch	2-1 W	1-0 W
Altrincham	1-2 L	1-2 L
Wealdstone	6-0 W	1-1 D
Boston Utd	6-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yeovil (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeovil

DWWDWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Boreham Wood England National League	2-1	2-2	3	1	D
31/10	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
27/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
24/10	Altrincham England National League	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
10/10	Wealdstone England National League	1-0	6-0	3	4	W
03/10	Boston Utd England National League	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
29/09	Worthing England National League	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
15/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D

Forest Green

LWWDLDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Harrogate Town England National League	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
28/10	Eastleigh England National League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/10	Hartlepool England National League	0-1	2-4	9	5	L
29/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	3-3	1	7	D
19/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
15/09	Carlisle England National League	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Forest Green?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Forest Green win (39%). Probabilities: Yeovil 36%, draw 25%, Forest Green 39%.

How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Forest Green?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Yeovil 1.67 · Forest Green 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Forest Green?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.