Football · Denmark Division 1 · 21/11, 14:00

Prediction: Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre IF

Team pages: Vendsyssel FF · Hvidovre IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Vendsyssel FF1.31

Hvidovre IF1.8

1X2

27% 26% 48%

Vendsyssel FF Draw Hvidovre IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vendsyssel FF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLLDDL

Hvidovre IF 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF 0–2–4 Hvidovre IF (6 last)

Hvidovre IF2-2Vendsyssel FF
Hvidovre IF3-1Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF0-1Hvidovre IF
Vendsyssel FF2-3Hvidovre IF
Hvidovre IF0-0Vendsyssel FF
Hvidovre IF3-1Vendsyssel FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vendsyssel FF 1447 · Hvidovre IF 1573

	Vendsyssel FF	Draw	Hvidovre IF
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	27%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hvidovre IF (rating 1447 vs 1573).
H2H favours Hvidovre IF: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vendsyssel FF	Hvidovre IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.64
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.01 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:08 +71’	3.50	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:13 +6’	3.47	3.64	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vendsyssel FF 0–2–4 Hvidovre IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Denmark Division 1	Hvidovre IF	2-2 HT 2-0	Vendsyssel FF
26/10/24 Denmark Division 1	Hvidovre IF	3-1 HT 3-0	Vendsyssel FF
28/09/24 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	0-1 HT 0-0	Hvidovre IF
27/05/23 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	2-3 HT 2-1	Hvidovre IF
22/04/23 Denmark Division 1	Hvidovre IF	0-0 HT 0-0	Vendsyssel FF
18/03/23 Denmark Division 1	Hvidovre IF	3-1 HT 3-1	Vendsyssel FF

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	14	9	5	0	27	13	32
2	Vejle	14	7	6	1	26	16	27
3	FC Fredericia	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
4	AB Copenhagen	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
5	Aarhus Fremad	14	4	6	4	12	14	18
6	AaB	14	3	7	4	17	19	16
7	Hobro IK	14	4	4	6	16	24	16
8	Hillerød	14	4	3	7	18	21	15
9	Kolding IF	14	3	6	5	17	20	15
10	Esbjerg	14	3	5	6	17	24	14
11	HB Køge	14	2	6	6	20	26	12
12	Vendsyssel FF	14	2	6	6	14	24	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vendsyssel FF	Hvidovre IF
AB Copenhagen	0-3 L	1-1 D
Vejle	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hobro IK	2-2 D	3-1 W
HB Køge	0-2 L	2-2 D
AaB	2-2 D	2-2 D
Aarhus Fremad	0-0 D	3-0 W
Esbjerg	2-0 W	1-1 D
Hillerød	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hvidovre IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vendsyssel FF

WWLDDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
01/11	Vejle Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
23/10	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
16/10	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
11/10	HB Køge Denmark Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	AaB Denmark Division 1	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/09	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
04/09	Vejle Denmark Division 1	0-4	1-4	7	0	L
30/08	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/08	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-0	8	3	W

Hvidovre IF

DWWDWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
31/10	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
23/10	HB Køge Denmark Division 1	1-0	2-2	7	0	D
18/10	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
09/10	Vejle Denmark Division 1	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
19/09	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
12/09	AaB Denmark Division 1	1-2	2-2	12	3	D
04/09	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
30/08	FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hvidovre IF win (48%). Probabilities: Vendsyssel FF 27%, draw 26%, Hvidovre IF 48%.

How many goals are expected in Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre IF?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Vendsyssel FF 1.31 · Hvidovre IF 1.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre IF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.