Football · England League 2 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: York vs Walsall

Team pages: York · Walsall

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
York1.92
Walsall1.29
1X2
51% 24% 25%
York Draw Walsall
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
York 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDDWLLW
Walsall 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWDDDWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · York 1516 · Walsall 1496
YorkDrawWalsall
Our model51%24%25%
Market51%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

YorkWalsall
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.31.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.62.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.43.5 / 0.1

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Salford City 151023 261632
2 Barnet 13751 281826
3 Grimsby 15654 281923
4 York 15654 252123
5 Crewe 15582 191923
6 Walsall 13571 211222
7 Chesterfield 15645 262122
8 Exeter 15645 12922
9 Cheltenham 15636 232621
10 Shrewsbury 15636 192321
11 Fleetwood Town 15555 191820
12 Gillingham 15555 202120
13 Accrington Stanley 15474 252119
14 Newport County 15474 221919
15 Tranmere 15474 191819
16 Swindon 15546 162119
17 Port Vale 13535 141618
18 Bristol Rovers 15519 172516
19 Northampton 14365 101115
20 Oldham 15438 162115
21 Colchester 14365 141915
22 Rochdale 15438 172715
23 Rotherham 14266 182512
24 Crawley Town 12237 13219

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYorkWalsall
Rochdale 1-0 W 0-0 D
Port Vale 2-0 W 2-0 W
Swindon 4-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: York (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

York

WLWDDDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 Rochdale
England League 2
0-0 1-0 74 W
31/10 Grimsby
England League 2
2-2 2-5 40 L
27/10 Barnet
England League 2
1-1 1-3 410 L
24/10 Port Vale
England League 2
0-0 2-0 21 W
20/10 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
0-0 1-1 75 D
17/10 Newport County
England League 2
1-0 1-1 06 D
10/10 Northampton
England League 2
0-1 1-1 83 D
26/09 Gillingham
England League 2
1-0 3-0 46 W
19/09 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-0 0-2 43 L
12/09 Swindon
England League 2
2-0 4-0 63 W

Walsall

DDDWDDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Colchester
England League 2
1-1 3-1 64 W
26/10 Salford City
England League 2
0-1 2-4 61 L
20/10 Oldham
England League 2
2-0 3-0 87 W
17/10 Swindon
England League 2
0-1 1-1 101 D
10/10 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
0-0 1-1 17 D
26/09 Tranmere
England League 2
0-0 1-1 53 D
19/09 Port Vale
England League 2
1-0 2-0 76 W
12/09 Rochdale
England League 2
0-0 0-0 74 D
05/09 Exeter
England League 2
0-0 0-0 81 D
01/09 Crewe
England League 2
1-0 2-2 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in York vs Walsall?

According to our model, the most likely result is a York win (51%). Probabilities: York 51%, draw 24%, Walsall 25%.

How many goals are expected in York vs Walsall?

The model expects 3.21 goals (York 1.92 · Walsall 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in York vs Walsall?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.