Football · Denmark Superligaen · 22/11, 14:00

Prediction: AC Horsens vs Silkeborg IF

Team pages: AC Horsens · Silkeborg IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

AC Horsens1.71

Silkeborg IF1.55

1X2

40% 26% 34%

AC Horsens Draw Silkeborg IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Horsens 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDDDWLL

Silkeborg IF 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDLDLW

Head-to-head

AC Horsens 3–1–2 Silkeborg IF (6 last)

Silkeborg IF3-3AC Horsens
AC Horsens0-1Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF1-2AC Horsens
AC Horsens3-2Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF2-1AC Horsens
AC Horsens3-2Silkeborg IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Horsens 1500 · Silkeborg IF 1481

	AC Horsens	Draw	Silkeborg IF
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AC Horsens: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Horsens	Silkeborg IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.9	1.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.01 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:10 +2’	2.30	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +6’	2.28	3.62	3.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Horsens 3–1–2 Silkeborg IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	3-3 HT 0-2	AC Horsens
19/05/23 Denmark Superligaen	AC Horsens	0-1 HT 0-0	Silkeborg IF
11/04/23 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	1-2 HT 0-1	AC Horsens
23/10/22 Denmark Superligaen	AC Horsens	3-2 HT 1-1	Silkeborg IF
02/10/22 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	2-1 HT 1-0	AC Horsens
23/09/21 Denmark Cup	AC Horsens	3-2 HT 3-1	Silkeborg IF

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	14	10	2	2	29	12	32
2	Midtjylland	14	9	5	0	29	17	32
3	Viborg	14	8	2	4	22	13	26
4	FC Nordsjaelland	14	6	5	3	26	18	23
5	Brondby	14	7	1	6	23	21	22
6	Odense BK	14	4	5	5	16	19	17
7	AC Horsens	14	4	4	6	23	23	16
8	AGF Aarhus	14	3	6	5	19	21	15
9	Silkeborg IF	14	3	6	5	18	24	15
10	Lyngby	14	2	5	7	19	29	11
11	Randers FC	14	3	2	9	14	27	11
12	Sonderjyske	14	2	3	9	19	33	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Horsens	Silkeborg IF
AGF Aarhus	0-2 L	2-2 D
Viborg	0-1 L	1-1 D
Sonderjyske	5-1 W	0-4 L
Lyngby	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Silkeborg IF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Horsens

WLWLDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
01/11	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
25/10	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-1	5-1	2	4	W
16/10	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
11/10	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-3	4	4	D
20/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
11/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
06/09	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-1	5-2	1	7	W
28/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
23/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-1	2	7	W

Silkeborg IF

LDDDWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
01/11	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-4	6	3	L
25/10	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/10	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	1	3	L
11/10	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	0-2	3-3	6	4	D
18/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	4-0	1	6	W
13/09	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
05/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	3	1	D
30/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-3	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Horsens vs Silkeborg IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Horsens win (40%). Probabilities: AC Horsens 40%, draw 26%, Silkeborg IF 34%.

How many goals are expected in AC Horsens vs Silkeborg IF?

The model expects 3.26 goals (AC Horsens 1.71 · Silkeborg IF 1.55), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Silkeborg IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.