Football · Australia A-League · 20/11, 09:40
Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United
Team pages: Western Sydney Wanderers · Adelaide United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Western Sydney Wanderers2.24
Adelaide United1.39
1X2
Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw
Adelaide United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Adelaide United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western Sydney Wanderers
1–1–4
Adelaide United
(6 last)
- Western Sydney Wanderers2-4Adelaide United
- Adelaide United3-2Western Sydney Wanderers
- Adelaide United2-0Western Sydney Wanderers
- Adelaide United2-3Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers3-4Adelaide United
- Adelaide United1-1Western Sydney Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western Sydney Wanderers 1468 · Adelaide United 1503
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Adelaide United: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1–4 Adelaide United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Adelaide United |
| 27/12/25 Australia A-League | Adelaide United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 07/11/25 Australia A-League | Adelaide United | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 27/12/24 Australia A-League | Adelaide United | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 02/11/24 Australia A-League | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Adelaide United |
| 12/09/24 Australia Cup | Adelaide United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Sydney Wanderers | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Macarthur FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Auckland FC | 5-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Sydney FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Melbourne Victory | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide United (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Sydney Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 16/10 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/03 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
Adelaide United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 01/11 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Sydney Wanderers win (56%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers 56%, draw 22%, Adelaide United 22%.
How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers 2.24 · Adelaide United 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.