Football · Austria 2. Liga · 20/11, 18:30

Prediction: Rapid Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz

Team pages: Rapid Vienna II · FC Blau Weiss Linz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Rapid Vienna II1.11

FC Blau Weiss Linz2.47

1X2

15% 19% 67%

Rapid Vienna II Draw FC Blau Weiss Linz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Vienna II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLLD

FC Blau Weiss Linz 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna II 1–5 FC Blau Weiss Linz (6 last)

Rapid Vienna II0-1FC Blau Weiss Linz
FC Blau Weiss Linz4-1Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II0-3FC Blau Weiss Linz
Rapid Vienna II3-2FC Blau Weiss Linz
FC Blau Weiss Linz1-0Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II2-5FC Blau Weiss Linz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna II 1455 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 1585

	Rapid Vienna II	Draw	FC Blau Weiss Linz
Our model	14%	19%	66%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Blau Weiss Linz (rating 1455 vs 1585).
H2H favours FC Blau Weiss Linz: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Vienna II	FC Blau Weiss Linz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	2.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.9	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.00

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.39 ★
2	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.39

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +10’	6.25	5.00	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +12’	6.09	5.39	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna II 1–0–5 FC Blau Weiss Linz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/23 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Blau Weiss Linz
28/08/22 Austria 2. Liga	FC Blau Weiss Linz	4-1 HT 2-0	Rapid Vienna II
11/03/22 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	0-3 HT 0-0	FC Blau Weiss Linz
07/10/21 Europe Friendlies	Rapid Vienna II	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Blau Weiss Linz
20/08/21 Austria 2. Liga	FC Blau Weiss Linz	1-0 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna II
14/04/21 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	2-5 HT 1-2	FC Blau Weiss Linz

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Vienna II	FC Blau Weiss Linz
FC Liefering	1-2 L	4-1 W
SKU Amstetten	2-3 L	1-1 D
St Polten	0-0 D	1-0 W
First Vienna FC 1894	0-2 L	6-0 W
Floridsdorfer AC	0-2 L	3-0 W
Hertha Wels	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Blau Weiss Linz (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna II

WLLLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
31/10	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	8	10	L
23/10	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-3	1	6	L
16/10	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
10/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
20/09	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	3	5	L
11/09	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-5	0	6	L
22/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
14/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W

FC Blau Weiss Linz

WWLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
31/10	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	2-0	6-0	3	6	W
23/10	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
17/10	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-1	4-1	6	8	W
09/10	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
18/09	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
12/09	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-1	4-1	3	4	W
28/08	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
23/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	5-1	5	3	W
14/08	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Blau Weiss Linz win (67%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna II 15%, draw 19%, FC Blau Weiss Linz 67%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Rapid Vienna II 1.11 · FC Blau Weiss Linz 2.47), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna II vs FC Blau Weiss Linz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.