Football · Australia A-League Women · 21/11, 06:50
Prediction: Brisbane Roar (W) vs Melbourne City (W)
Team pages: Brisbane Roar (W) · Melbourne City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Brisbane Roar (W)1.46
Melbourne City (W)1.9
1X2
Brisbane Roar (W)
Draw
Melbourne City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Roar (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Melbourne City (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brisbane Roar (W)
1–1–4
Melbourne City (W)
(6 last)
- Melbourne City (W)5-2Brisbane Roar (W)
- Brisbane Roar (W)1-1Melbourne City (W)
- Brisbane Roar (W)0-4Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)2-0Brisbane Roar (W)
- Brisbane Roar (W)2-0Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)5-3Brisbane Roar (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne City (W) (rating 1467 vs 1588).
- H2H favours Melbourne City (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Roar (W) | Melbourne City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar (W) 1–1–4 Melbourne City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Brisbane Roar (W) |
| 20/01/26 Australia A-League Women | Brisbane Roar (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 26/03/25 Australia A-League Women | Brisbane Roar (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 11/01/25 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Roar (W) |
| 02/03/24 Australia A-League Women | Brisbane Roar (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 28/12/23 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 5-3 HT 3-1 | Brisbane Roar (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth Glory (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Melbourne City (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Canberra United (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Sydney FC (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 10 | Adelaide United (W) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Roar (W) | Melbourne City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra United (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Melbourne Victory (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sydney FC (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Wellington Phoenix (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide United (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne City (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Roar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 07/11 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Melbourne City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne City (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar (W) 29%, draw 24%, Melbourne City (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Brisbane Roar (W) 1.46 · Melbourne City (W) 1.9), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Melbourne City (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.