Football · Scotland League Two · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Forfar

Team pages: Annan Athletic · Forfar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Annan Athletic1.73

Forfar1.28

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Annan Athletic Draw Forfar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Annan Athletic 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLLW

Forfar 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic 1–2–3 Forfar (6 last)

Forfar1-0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1-1Forfar
Forfar2-1Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3-1Forfar
Forfar1-0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1-1Forfar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annan Athletic 1452 · Forfar 1453

	Annan Athletic	Draw	Forfar
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forfar: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Annan Athletic	Forfar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:22 +3’	1.91	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 1–2–3 Forfar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Scotland League Two	Forfar	1-0 HT 1-0	Annan Athletic
02/05/26 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	1-1 HT 1-1	Forfar
21/02/26 Scotland League Two	Forfar	2-1 HT 1-0	Annan Athletic
13/12/25 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	3-1 HT 0-1	Forfar
20/09/25 Scotland League Two	Forfar	1-0 HT 1-0	Annan Athletic
12/07/25 Scotland League Cup	Annan Athletic	1-1 HT 0-1	Forfar

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stranraer	14	9	3	2	29	9	30
2	Clyde	14	9	3	2	36	22	30
3	Elgin	14	6	3	5	29	21	21
4	Spartans	14	5	3	6	28	27	18
5	Kelty Hearts	14	6	0	8	18	24	18
6	Stirling	14	5	3	6	21	30	18
7	Dumbarton	14	5	1	8	15	25	16
8	FC Edinburgh	14	5	5	4	25	26	15
9	Forfar	14	4	3	7	16	26	15
10	Annan Athletic	14	4	0	10	19	26	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Annan Athletic	Forfar
Dumbarton	5-0 W	1-2 L
Kelty Hearts	1-2 L	1-2 L
Spartans	2-3 L	2-1 W
Stranraer	1-6 L	0-3 L
Stirling	0-1 L	2-5 L
Elgin	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Annan Athletic (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annan Athletic

WLWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	3-0	5-0	3	5	W
07/11	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
31/10	Spartans Scotland League Two	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
17/10	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	1-4	3	4	L
10/10	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-2	1-6	3	4	L
03/10	Stirling Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
19/09	Forfar Scotland League Two	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
12/09	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
05/09	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-0	2-0	5	3	W

Forfar

DLLWLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Spartans Scotland League Two	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
07/11	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
31/10	Stirling Scotland League Two	2-3	2-5	5	2	L
17/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
03/10	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
19/09	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
12/09	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-3	1-5	2	3	L
05/09	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Annan Athletic win (47%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 47%, draw 26%, Forfar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Forfar?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Annan Athletic 1.73 · Forfar 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Forfar?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.