Football · Czechia First League · 22/11, 13:00

Prediction: Pardubice vs FC Brno

Team pages: Pardubice · FC Brno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Pardubice2.07

FC Brno1.17

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Pardubice Draw FC Brno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Pardubice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWLW

FC Brno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Pardubice 3–3 FC Brno (6 last)

FC Brno0-2Pardubice
FC Brno2-1Pardubice
Pardubice1-3FC Brno
Pardubice0-2FC Brno
FC Brno1-2Pardubice
Pardubice2-1FC Brno

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pardubice (rating 1566 vs 1485).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pardubice	FC Brno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.89

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83
X	3.71 → 3.71	Pinn 3.71
2	4.07 → 4.07	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +3’	1.83	3.71	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pardubice 3–0–3 FC Brno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/23 Czechia First League	FC Brno	0-2 HT 0-1	Pardubice
16/04/23 Czechia First League	FC Brno	2-1 HT 0-0	Pardubice
22/10/22 Czechia First League	Pardubice	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Brno
26/06/21 Europe Friendlies	Pardubice	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Brno
18/04/21 Czechia First League	FC Brno	1-2 HT 0-1	Pardubice
12/12/20 Czechia First League	Pardubice	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Brno

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	14	10	4	0	36	8	34
2	Slovan Liberec	13	8	2	3	16	8	26
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
4	Sparta Prague	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	7	3	4	22	20	24
6	FK Teplice	14	6	3	5	22	22	21
7	FK Jablonec	14	6	3	5	16	18	21
8	Viktoria Plzen	14	5	5	4	29	22	20
9	Bohemians 1905	14	5	5	4	15	15	20
10	FC Brno	14	6	2	6	17	22	20
11	Hradec Kralove	14	5	3	6	17	18	18
12	Pardubice	14	5	2	7	19	20	17
13	Banik Ostrava	13	4	2	7	10	23	14
14	SK Artis Brno	14	2	4	8	15	28	10
15	Slovacko	14	2	4	8	13	26	10
16	FC Trinity Zlin	14	0	3	11	11	27	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pardubice	FC Brno
FC Trinity Zlin	3-0 W	3-2 W
Bohemians 1905	2-1 W	2-2 D
Banik Ostrava	2-1 W	1-3 L
Slovacko	0-0 D	2-1 W
SK Artis Brno	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sigma Olomouc	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pardubice (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pardubice

LLDWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Teplice Czechia First League	2-1	4-1	6	5	W
31/10	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
25/10	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	2-0	2-1	9	4	W
17/10	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
11/10	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
19/09	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
13/09	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
05/09	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
29/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
23/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

FC Brno

WWLWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
31/10	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
24/10	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	1-0	2-2	9	1	D
18/10	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
10/10	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
19/09	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
12/09	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
05/09	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
02/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
29/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	3-2	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pardubice vs FC Brno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pardubice win (57%). Probabilities: Pardubice 57%, draw 23%, FC Brno 20%.

How many goals are expected in Pardubice vs FC Brno?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Pardubice 2.07 · FC Brno 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pardubice vs FC Brno?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.