Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 21/11, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok vs Slovan Bratislava

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok · Slovan Bratislava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

MFK Ruzomberok1.17

Slovan Bratislava1.97

1X2

21% 24% 55%

MFK Ruzomberok Draw Slovan Bratislava

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDWLWL

Slovan Bratislava 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWDWWD

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok 1–1–4 Slovan Bratislava (6 last)

Slovan Bratislava5-0MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok2-2Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava1-2MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok1-5Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava2-1MFK Ruzomberok
Slovan Bratislava5-1MFK Ruzomberok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok 1493 · Slovan Bratislava 1525

	MFK Ruzomberok	Draw	Slovan Bratislava
Our model	21%	24%	55%
Market	21%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slovan Bratislava: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok	Slovan Bratislava
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.6	3.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.78 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:56 +27’	4.33	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +11’	4.62	3.90	1.68
09:12 +1’	4.78▲	3.88▼	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok 1–1–4 Slovan Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Slovakia Super Liga	Slovan Bratislava	5-0 HT 1-0	MFK Ruzomberok
22/02/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	2-2 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava
03/12/25 Slovakia Super Liga	Slovan Bratislava	1-2 HT 1-1	MFK Ruzomberok
09/02/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-5 HT 1-2	Slovan Bratislava
21/09/24 Slovakia Super Liga	Slovan Bratislava	2-1 HT 1-1	MFK Ruzomberok
18/05/24 Slovakia Super Liga	Slovan Bratislava	5-1 HT 3-1	MFK Ruzomberok

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	14	12	2	0	42	9	38
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32	15	28
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37	27	28
4	FC Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28	18	25
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	14	6	2	6	23	24	20
6	FC Kosice	14	4	6	4	32	26	18
7	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
8	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14	27	14
9	KFC Komarno	14	2	7	5	13	17	13
10	MFK Ruzomberok	14	3	3	8	13	29	12
11	AS Trencin	14	2	4	8	14	30	10
12	MFK Skalica	14	2	4	8	15	28	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok	Slovan Bratislava
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	1-4 L	2-1 W
Dunajska Streda	0-5 L	0-2 L
KFC Komarno	1-0 W	2-1 W
MSK Zilina	2-2 D	3-3 D
FC Kosice	0-2 L	2-1 W
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Spartak Trnava	1-1 D	3-0 W
AS Trencin	1-2 L	2-2 D
Dukla Banska Bystrica	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Bratislava (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok

LLDWLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	1-4	2	3	L
01/11	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
24/10	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-4	0-5	4	0	L
17/10	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
11/10	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	2-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/09	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
12/09	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
29/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
22/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

Slovan Bratislava

WLLDWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-2	16	1	D
31/10	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
28/10	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
24/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-2	6	7	D
17/10	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	2	6	W
19/09	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
13/09	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	3-3	7	6	D
05/09	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	12	4	L
22/08	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	2-1	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok vs Slovan Bratislava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Slovan Bratislava win (55%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok 21%, draw 24%, Slovan Bratislava 55%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok vs Slovan Bratislava?

The model expects 3.14 goals (MFK Ruzomberok 1.17 · Slovan Bratislava 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok vs Slovan Bratislava?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.