Football · Japan J-League · 21/11, 06:00

Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Yokohama F-Marinos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.92

Yokohama F-Marinos1.23

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Draw Yokohama F-Marinos

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLWWD

Yokohama F-Marinos 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDDDWD

Head-to-head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–4 Yokohama F-Marinos (6 last)

Yokohama F-Marinos4-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Yokohama F-Marinos3-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-0Yokohama F-Marinos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima6-2Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos3-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-1Yokohama F-Marinos

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (rating 1592 vs 1543).
H2H favours Yokohama F-Marinos: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Yokohama F-Marinos
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.7	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.97

Under 3.251.86

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40
X	5.08 → 5.08	Pinn 5.08
2	7.01 → 7.01	Pinn 7.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14	1.40	5.08	7.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0–4 Yokohama F-Marinos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Japan J-League Cup	Yokohama F-Marinos	4-3 HT 0-0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25/10/25 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	3-0 HT 1-0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
23/02/25 Japan J-League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1-0 HT 0-0	Yokohama F-Marinos
22/09/24 Japan J-League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6-2 HT 3-2	Yokohama F-Marinos
19/06/24 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	3-2 HT 1-1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24/06/23 Japan J-League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0-1 HT 0-1	Yokohama F-Marinos

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Yokohama F-Marinos
Machida Zelvia	0-0 D	1-1 D
Mito Hollyhock	3-0 W	2-0 W
Kyoto Sanga FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Tokyo Verdy	2-0 W	2-2 D
Cerezo Osaka	6-1 W	0-0 D
Fagiano Okayama	2-3 L	1-1 D
Nagoya Grampus	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 6 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
31/10	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
24/10	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	4-0	7	2	W
21/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-2	0-4	10	3	L
17/10	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	3-0	9	2	W
11/10	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/09	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	16	6	W
12/09	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	3-0	6-1	9	1	W
06/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-2	2-3	8	3	L
02/09	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	0-0	3-0	2	3	W

Yokohama F-Marinos

DWDWDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
01/11	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	3-1	4-2	7	4	W
25/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
21/10	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
17/10	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
10/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
12/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
06/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/09	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (53%). Probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%, draw 24%, Yokohama F-Marinos 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.92 · Yokohama F-Marinos 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F-Marinos?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.