Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 20/11, 19:30

Prediction: FC Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau

Team pages: FC Rapperswil-Jona · Aarau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

FC Rapperswil-Jona2.01

Aarau1.99

1X2

39% 22% 39%

FC Rapperswil-Jona Draw Aarau

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rapperswil-Jona 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLDLL

Aarau 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

FC Rapperswil-Jona 0–1–5 Aarau (6 last)

Aarau3-2FC Rapperswil-Jona
FC Rapperswil-Jona4-5Aarau
Aarau5-3FC Rapperswil-Jona
Aarau2-1FC Rapperswil-Jona
FC Rapperswil-Jona0-1Aarau
FC Rapperswil-Jona1-1Aarau

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarau (rating 1419 vs 1471).
H2H favours Aarau: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rapperswil-Jona	Aarau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.16▼	Pinn 3.16
X	3.85 → 3.81▼	Pinn 3.81
2	2.04 → 2.07▲	Pinn 2.07

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +11’	3.20	3.85	2.04
01:06 +12’	3.16▼	3.81▼	2.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rapperswil-Jona 0–1–5 Aarau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Aarau	3-2 HT 0-1	FC Rapperswil-Jona
04/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Rapperswil-Jona	4-5 HT 3-3	Aarau
27/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Aarau	5-3 HT 1-2	FC Rapperswil-Jona
01/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Aarau	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Rapperswil-Jona
29/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Rapperswil-Jona	0-1 HT 0-0	Aarau
19/03/25 Club Friendly List	FC Rapperswil-Jona	1-1 HT 0-1	Aarau

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	13	9	4	0	28	6	31
2	Winterthur	13	7	4	2	28	13	25
3	Yverdon Sport FC	13	6	5	2	23	14	23
4	Kriens	13	5	4	4	22	19	19
5	Neuchatel Xamax	13	5	2	6	16	20	17
6	Aarau	13	4	3	6	19	24	15
7	Etoile Carouge	13	3	5	5	14	19	14
8	Wil 1900	13	3	5	5	21	27	14
9	FC Rapperswil-Jona	13	3	2	8	18	26	11
10	Stade Nyonnais	13	2	2	9	13	34	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rapperswil-Jona	Aarau
Kriens	0-1 L	2-2 D
Stade Nyonnais	1-4 L	1-2 L
Wil 1900	2-2 D	0-3 L
Neuchatel Xamax	3-0 W	3-1 W
Yverdon Sport FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Etoile Carouge	1-2 L	1-2 L
Winterthur	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Rapperswil-Jona

LLDLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
30/10	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-4	10	5	L
23/10	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
09/10	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
18/09	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/09	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-3	3	5	L
01/09	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-1	8	10	D
28/08	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-2	4	0	L
21/08	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Aarau

LWDWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
30/10	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/10	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
09/10	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
18/09	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-2	0	6	L
12/09	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
04/09	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	3-2	10	5	W
31/08	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
28/08	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
23/08	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	1-2	11	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rapperswil-Jona win (39%). Probabilities: FC Rapperswil-Jona 39%, draw 22%, Aarau 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?

The model expects 4 goals (FC Rapperswil-Jona 2.01 · Aarau 1.99), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.