Football · Austria 2. Liga · 21/11, 15:30

Prediction: Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten

Team pages: Sturm Graz II · SKU Amstetten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Sturm Graz II1.72

SKU Amstetten2

1X2

32% 24% 43%

Sturm Graz II Draw SKU Amstetten

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sturm Graz II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLLLWW

SKU Amstetten 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDDWLL

Head-to-head

Sturm Graz II 3–1–2 SKU Amstetten (6 last)

Sturm Graz II3-3SKU Amstetten
SKU Amstetten2-0Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II2-1SKU Amstetten
SKU Amstetten3-1Sturm Graz II
SKU Amstetten1-4Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II3-2SKU Amstetten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sturm Graz II 1474 · SKU Amstetten 1495

	Sturm Graz II	Draw	SKU Amstetten
Our model	33%	23%	44%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sturm Graz II: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sturm Graz II	SKU Amstetten
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.9	4.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.5	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.00 ★
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:13 +11’	2.90	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +11’	2.89	4.00	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sturm Graz II 3–1–2 SKU Amstetten

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	3-3 HT 1-0	SKU Amstetten
01/08/25 Austria 2. Liga	SKU Amstetten	2-0 HT 1-0	Sturm Graz II
08/03/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	2-1 HT 1-0	SKU Amstetten
23/08/24 Austria 2. Liga	SKU Amstetten	3-1 HT 0-1	Sturm Graz II
19/04/24 Austria 2. Liga	SKU Amstetten	1-4 HT 1-1	Sturm Graz II
01/10/23 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	3-2 HT 0-0	SKU Amstetten

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sturm Graz II	SKU Amstetten
Hertha Wels	3-1 W	1-1 D
FK Austria Vienna II	0-1 L	4-2 W
SV Kapfenberg	0-2 L	4-3 W
FC Wacker Innsbruck	2-2 D	2-3 L
SV Austria Salzburg	3-3 D	0-3 L
Rapid Vienna II	5-2 W	3-2 W
SW Bregenz	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sturm Graz II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sturm Graz II

LLWDDLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
31/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
23/10	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
18/10	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	14	3	L
10/10	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	8	2	L
19/09	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
12/09	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	6	10	D
30/08	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	5-2	7	6	W
22/08	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	0	4	L
15/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	5	L

SKU Amstetten

DDLWWDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	1-3	2-3	9	5	L
30/10	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
23/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
17/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
09/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
18/09	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-1	4-3	10	2	W
11/09	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	4-2	12	2	W
28/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
21/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
15/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SKU Amstetten win (43%). Probabilities: Sturm Graz II 32%, draw 24%, SKU Amstetten 43%.

How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Sturm Graz II 1.72 · SKU Amstetten 2), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.