Football · Italy Serie B · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Modena vs Juve Stabia

Team pages: Modena · Juve Stabia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Modena1.84
Juve Stabia0.89
1X2
59% 25% 17%
Modena Draw Juve Stabia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Modena 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLWWDW
Juve Stabia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLDDDWWLDW
Head-to-head
Modena 3–2 Juve Stabia (5 last)
  • Modena0-1Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia1-2Modena
  • Modena3-0Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia2-1Modena
  • Modena3-0Juve Stabia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modena 1554 · Juve Stabia 1543
ModenaDrawJuve Stabia
Our model59%25%17%
Market59%25%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Modena: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ModenaJuve Stabia
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.91.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.91.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.33.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Modena 3–0–2 Juve Stabia

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26
Italy Serie B
Modena0-1
HT 0-0
Juve Stabia
22/02/26
Italy Serie B
Juve Stabia1-2
HT 0-2
Modena
02/11/25
Italy Serie B
Modena3-0
HT 1-0
Juve Stabia
15/03/25
Italy Serie B
Juve Stabia2-1
HT 1-0
Modena
21/09/24
Italy Serie B
Modena3-0
HT 2-0
Juve Stabia

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Modena 11722 201023
3 Ascoli 11551 17720
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Cremonese 11434 141215
10 Sudtirol 11362 131215
11 Padova 11434 121315
12 Cesena 11362 121415
13 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
14 Sampdoria 11326 111811
15 Arezzo 11326 92011
16 Virtus Entella 11245 111410
17 Carrarese 11317 91410
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Vicenza 11236 14249
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentModenaJuve Stabia
Virtus Entella 2-0 W 1-1 D
Vicenza 2-1 W 1-1 D
Cesena 3-0 W 1-1 D
Verona 3-2 W 0-1 L
Empoli 2-1 W 2-2 D
Sudtirol 1-1 D 3-0 W
Cremonese 3-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Modena (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Modena

WLDWWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
2-0 2-0 36 W
31/10 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 05 D
27/10 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-1 46 W
24/10 Cesena
Italy Serie B
3-0 3-0 72 W
17/10 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-2 86 L
11/10 Verona
Italy Serie B
1-2 3-2 35 W
20/09 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 34 W
12/09 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 74 D
06/09 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 125 L
28/08 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-0 23 W

Juve Stabia

WLDDDWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 65 W
01/11 Empoli
Italy Serie B
1-2 2-2 54 D
28/10 Verona
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 51 L
24/10 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 41 W
18/10 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 3-0 26 W
10/10 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 33 D
18/09 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 62 D
12/09 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 52 D
06/09 Pisa
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-3 44 L
29/08 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modena vs Juve Stabia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Modena win (59%). Probabilities: Modena 59%, draw 25%, Juve Stabia 17%.

How many goals are expected in Modena vs Juve Stabia?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Modena 1.84 · Juve Stabia 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Modena vs Juve Stabia?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.