Football · England Premier League · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Coventry vs Crystal Palace

Team pages: Coventry · Crystal Palace

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Coventry1.6
Crystal Palace1.43
1X2
40% 27% 33%
Coventry Draw Crystal Palace
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
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Crystal Palace 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coventry 1440 · Crystal Palace 1430
CoventryDrawCrystal Palace
Our model41%26%33%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CoventryCrystal Palace
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.91 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.61.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.23.4 / 0.2

Standings · England Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Arsenal 10901 15527
2 Brighton 10712 26722
3 Man City 10703 211321
4 Liverpool 10532 141018
5 Chelsea 10514 191616
6 Everton 10442 121016
7 Bournemouth 10433 161415
8 Brentford 10352 161114
9 Leeds 10352 10814
10 Aston Villa 10343 141713
11 Tottenham 10334 101112
12 Newcastle 10334 131612
13 Hull 10253 111111
14 Ipswich 10325 152011
15 Fulham 10244 101210
16 Nottm Forest 10235 9139
17 Coventry 10307 10199
18 Man Utd 10154 14198
19 Sunderland 10226 8178
20 Crystal Palace 10217 10247

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCoventryCrystal Palace
Everton 1-3 L 0-2 L
Fulham 0-1 L 3-2 W
Tottenham 1-3 L 0-2 L
Newcastle 4-1 W 0-2 L
Nottm Forest 1-0 W 3-1 W
Brighton 0-5 L 0-5 L
Man City 0-1 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coventry

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Everton
England Premier League
0-0 1-3 22 L
31/10 Sunderland
England Premier League
2-0 3-1 44 W
24/10 Fulham
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 42 L
19/10 Tottenham
England Premier League
0-1 1-3 44 L
12/10 Newcastle
England Premier League
1-0 4-1 22 W
19/09 Nottm Forest
England Premier League
0-0 1-0 22 W
13/09 Brighton
England Premier League
0-1 0-5 51 L
05/09 Man City
England Premier League
0-1 0-1 53 L
29/08 Hull
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 65 L
21/08 Arsenal
England Premier League
0-2 0-3 22 L

Crystal Palace

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Liverpool
England Premier League
0-1 1-3 46 L
31/10 Tottenham
England Premier League
0-1 0-2 03 L
25/10 Newcastle
England Premier League
0-0 0-2 76 L
18/10 Brighton
England Premier League
0-3 0-5 53 L
11/10 Nottm Forest
England Premier League
2-1 3-1 54 W
20/09 Leeds
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 35 D
12/09 Ipswich
England Premier League
1-2 2-3 65 L
05/09 Fulham
England Premier League
1-2 3-2 10 W
28/08 Man City
England Premier League
0-1 1-4 23 L
22/08 Everton
England Premier League
0-1 0-2 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coventry win (40%). Probabilities: Coventry 40%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 33%.

How many goals are expected in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Coventry 1.6 · Crystal Palace 1.43), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.