Football · Russia Division 1 · 21/11, 11:30

Prediction: FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow

Team pages: FC Nizhny Novgorod · Torpedo Moscow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

FC Nizhny Novgorod1.84

Torpedo Moscow0.94

1X2

57% 25% 18%

FC Nizhny Novgorod Draw Torpedo Moscow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nizhny Novgorod 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWWW

Torpedo Moscow 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

FC Nizhny Novgorod 5–1–0 Torpedo Moscow (6 last)

Torpedo Moscow1-2FC Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moscow0-0FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod4-1Torpedo Moscow
Torpedo Moscow0-2FC Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moscow0-2FC Nizhny Novgorod
FC Nizhny Novgorod2-1Torpedo Moscow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nizhny Novgorod (rating 1647 vs 1568).
H2H favours FC Nizhny Novgorod: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nizhny Novgorod	Torpedo Moscow
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6.1	– / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.67
X	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79
2	4.94 → 4.94	Pinn 4.94

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +5’	1.67	3.79	4.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nizhny Novgorod 5–1–0 Torpedo Moscow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Russia Division 1	Torpedo Moscow	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Nizhny Novgorod
09/10/22 Russia Premier League	Torpedo Moscow	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
20/03/21 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	4-1 HT 3-1	Torpedo Moscow
23/09/20 Russia Division 1	Torpedo Moscow	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Nizhny Novgorod
13/11/19 Russia Division 1	Torpedo Moscow	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Nizhny Novgorod
28/07/19 Russia Division 1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	2-1 HT 1-1	Torpedo Moscow

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	52	15	46
2	Torpedo Moscow	18	10	5	3	30	13	35
3	Ural	17	10	4	3	29	11	34
4	PFC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26	20	32
5	Veles	19	9	4	6	25	25	31
6	FK Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	22	20	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22	18	26
8	FK Chelyabinsk	18	7	3	8	27	29	24
9	FC Ufa	17	5	7	5	19	17	22
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	19	6	4	9	22	26	22
11	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	24	19	21
12	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	18	5	4	9	24	28	19
13	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20	35	19
14	FK Leningradets	18	4	6	8	16	28	18
15	FK Yenisey	17	4	5	8	19	33	17
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	17	3	5	9	21	30	14
17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	17	4	1	12	11	25	13
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	17	2	5	10	12	29	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nizhny Novgorod	Torpedo Moscow
FC Ufa	1-0 W	0-0 D
FK Yenisey	5-0 W	2-1 W
FK Leningradets	6-0 W	3-1 W
FK Volga Ulyanovsk	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nizhny Novgorod (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nizhny Novgorod

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	3-0	4-0	7	9	W
30/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
24/10	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
18/10	Ural Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	8	W
10/10	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	2-0	5-0	8	4	W
17/09	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	6-0	7	5	W
13/09	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
24/08	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	3-1	4-2	–	–	W

Torpedo Moscow

WLDDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	11	W
07/11	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
01/11	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
23/10	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
17/10	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
27/09	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/09	Veles Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
04/09	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	2-0	4-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nizhny Novgorod win (57%). Probabilities: FC Nizhny Novgorod 57%, draw 25%, Torpedo Moscow 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow?

The model expects 2.78 goals (FC Nizhny Novgorod 1.84 · Torpedo Moscow 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moscow?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.