Prediction: SC Bastia vs Villefranche
Team pages: SC Bastia · Villefranche
- SC Bastia1-1Villefranche
- Villefranche0-3SC Bastia
| SC Bastia | Draw | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Bastia (rating 1490 vs 1425).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Bastia | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Bastia 1–1–0 Villefranche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/21 France Ligue 3 | SC Bastia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Villefranche |
| 18/09/20 France Ligue 3 | Villefranche | 0-3 HT 0-2 | SC Bastia |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Bastia | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Rouen | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| US Quevilly | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Concarneau | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| US Orleans 45 | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cannes | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Amiens | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Versailles 78 | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Bastia (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Bastia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/10 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/10 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/08 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Villefranche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Bastia vs Villefranche?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Bastia win (51%). Probabilities: SC Bastia 51%, draw 27%, Villefranche 22%.
How many goals are expected in SC Bastia vs Villefranche?
The model expects 2.49 goals (SC Bastia 1.55 · Villefranche 0.94), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Bastia vs Villefranche?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.