Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 20/11, 20:45
Prediction: Cliftonville vs Glentoran
Team pages: Cliftonville · Glentoran
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Cliftonville1.16
Glentoran1.33
1X2
Cliftonville
Draw
Glentoran
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Glentoran
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville
1–1–4
Glentoran
(6 last)
- Cliftonville1-0Glentoran
- Cliftonville1-2Glentoran
- Cliftonville1-2Glentoran
- Glentoran3-0Cliftonville
- Cliftonville0-4Glentoran
- Glentoran2-2Cliftonville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cliftonville 1490 · Glentoran 1557
| Cliftonville | Draw | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glentoran (rating 1490 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Glentoran: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 1–1–4 Glentoran
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield | Cliftonville | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Glentoran |
| 19/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Glentoran |
| 07/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Glentoran |
| 18/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Glentoran | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cliftonville |
| 24/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Glentoran |
| 06/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Glentoran | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Cliftonville |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 21 | 21 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 20 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 19 |
| 8 | Dungannon Swifts | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 18 |
| 9 | Limavady United | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 10 | Ballymena Utd | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
| 12 | Portadown | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Carrick Rangers | 7-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Dungannon Swifts | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Portadown | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Coleraine | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Glentoran (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 06/11 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
4-1 | 7-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Glentoran
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/11 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/10 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Glentoran?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Glentoran win (40%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 32%, draw 28%, Glentoran 40%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Glentoran?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Cliftonville 1.16 · Glentoran 1.33), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Glentoran?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.