Football · Italy Serie B · 20/11, 20:30

Prediction: Verona vs Cesena

Team pages: Verona · Cesena

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Verona1.81
Cesena1.05
1X2
54% 25% 20%
Verona Draw Cesena
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Verona 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDDWWD
Cesena 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLDLWDW
Head-to-head
Verona 1–3–1 Cesena (5 last)
  • Verona1-2Cesena
  • Cesena0-0Verona
  • Verona3-0Cesena
  • Verona3-3Cesena
  • Cesena1-1Verona
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Verona 1543 · Cesena 1510
VeronaDrawCesena
Our model54%25%21%
Market54%26%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VeronaCesena
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.11.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 62.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.33.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Verona 1–3–1 Cesena

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/08/24
Coppa Italia
Verona1-2
HT 0-1
Cesena
18/05/17
Italy Serie B
Cesena0-0
HT 0-0
Verona
30/12/16
Italy Serie B
Verona3-0
HT 2-0
Cesena
04/04/15
Italy Serie A
Verona3-3
HT 2-0
Cesena
03/11/14
Italy Serie A
Cesena1-1
HT 1-0
Verona

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Modena 11722 201023
3 Ascoli 11551 17720
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Cremonese 11434 141215
10 Sudtirol 11362 131215
11 Padova 11434 121315
12 Cesena 11362 121415
13 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
14 Sampdoria 11326 111811
15 Arezzo 11326 92011
16 Virtus Entella 11245 111410
17 Carrarese 11317 91410
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Vicenza 11236 14249
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVeronaCesena
Mantova 0-0 D 1-1 D
Juve Stabia 1-0 W 1-1 D
Catanzaro 2-2 D 1-0 W
Modena 2-3 L 0-3 L
Benevento 1-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Verona (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Verona

DWLWLDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 33 D
01/11 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
3-0 3-0 51 W
28/10 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 81 W
25/10 Pisa
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 44 D
16/10 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 123 D
11/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
2-1 2-3 45 L
20/09 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-1 36 W
11/09 Benevento
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-3 98 L
06/09 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
0-0 5-0 64 W
29/08 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 65 D

Cesena

WDDDLDLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 31 W
31/10 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 45 D
27/10 Empoli
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-1 78 W
24/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
0-3 0-3 12 L
18/10 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 72 D
10/10 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-2 55 L
18/09 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 22 D
12/09 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-2 55 D
06/09 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 101 D
29/08 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
2-1 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Verona vs Cesena?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Verona win (54%). Probabilities: Verona 54%, draw 25%, Cesena 20%.

How many goals are expected in Verona vs Cesena?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Verona 1.81 · Cesena 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Verona vs Cesena?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.