Prediction: Inverness CT vs Ayr
Team pages: Inverness CT · Ayr
- Ayr1-3Inverness CT
- Ayr1-2Inverness CT
- Inverness CT1-2Ayr
- Ayr1-3Inverness CT
- Inverness CT3-1Ayr
- Ayr1-0Inverness CT
| Inverness CT | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inverness CT (rating 1546 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Inverness CT: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inverness CT | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.1 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 4–0–2 Ayr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Inverness CT |
| 24/02/26 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Ayr | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Inverness CT |
| 16/03/24 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ayr |
| 06/01/24 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Inverness CT |
| 11/11/23 Scotland Championship | Inverness CT | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Ayr |
| 12/08/23 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Inverness CT |
Standings · Scotland Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Raith | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inverness CT | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Partick | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Livingston | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Dunfermline | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Raith | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Arbroath | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Queen's Park | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ayr (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inverness CT
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 07/11 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 31/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 13/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Ayr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 07/11 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (57%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 57%, draw 24%, Ayr 19%.
How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Inverness CT 1.88 · Ayr 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs Ayr?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.