Football · Spain La Liga · 29/11, 17:00

Prediction: Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano

Team pages: Real Betis · Rayo Vallecano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Real Betis1.87

Rayo Vallecano0.97

1X2

58% 24% 18%

Real Betis Draw Rayo Vallecano

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Betis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLDWW

Rayo Vallecano 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDDLWL

Head-to-head

Real Betis 1–4–1 Rayo Vallecano (6 last)

Real Betis1-1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano0-0Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano2-2Real Betis
Real Betis1-1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano2-0Real Betis
Real Betis1-0Rayo Vallecano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Betis 1559 · Rayo Vallecano 1486

	Real Betis	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Our model	57%	24%	18%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1559 vs 1486).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Betis	Rayo Vallecano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.9	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.05

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +3’	1.61	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Betis 1–4–1 Rayo Vallecano

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-1 HT 1-1	Rayo Vallecano
15/12/25 Spain La Liga	Rayo Vallecano	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Betis
15/05/25 Spain La Liga	Rayo Vallecano	2-2 HT 2-0	Real Betis
22/12/24 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-1 HT 1-0	Rayo Vallecano
17/03/24 Spain La Liga	Rayo Vallecano	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Betis
02/09/23 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-0 HT 0-0	Rayo Vallecano

Standings · Spain La Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31	10	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	20	15	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	21	20	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	18
7	Athletic Bilbao	11	4	4	3	15	11	16
8	Deportivo A Coruna	12	3	6	3	15	14	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
10	CD Alaves	12	3	4	5	15	17	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13	14	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	15	21	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	12
17	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	10
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	14	20	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8	20	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9	23	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Betis	Rayo Vallecano
Elche	2-0 W	0-3 L
Celta Vigo	0-0 D	3-0 W
Barcelona	2-5 L	2-5 L
Osasuna	5-2 W	1-1 D
Getafe	1-0 W	1-1 D
Real Madrid	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Real Betis (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Betis

LWWWDWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Elche Spain La Liga	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
31/10	Malaga Spain La Liga	2-0	2-1	10	4	W
25/10	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
17/10	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
11/10	Osasuna Spain La Liga	2-0	5-2	8	7	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
17/09	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
14/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/08	Levante Spain La Liga	2-2	2-5	8	2	L

Rayo Vallecano

DLWLWDDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
31/10	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
24/10	Elche Spain La Liga	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
19/10	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	8	10	D
19/09	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/09	Espanyol Spain La Liga	2-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-3	1-4	5	1	L
05/09	Racing Santander Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	9	6	W
31/08	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-2	2-5	5	1	L
20/08	CD Alaves Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Betis win (58%). Probabilities: Real Betis 58%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano 18%.

How many goals are expected in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Real Betis 1.87 · Rayo Vallecano 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.