Football · England National League South · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Billericay Town vs Slough

Team pages: Billericay Town · Slough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Billericay Town2.76

Slough1.07

1X2

72% 17% 11%

Billericay Town Draw Slough

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Billericay Town 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWDWD

Slough 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Billericay Town 2–2–2 Slough (6 last)

Slough1-1Billericay Town
Billericay Town2-1Slough
Billericay Town2-0Slough
Billericay Town2-2Slough
Slough3-1Billericay Town
Slough2-1Billericay Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Billericay Town 1545 · Slough 1449

	Billericay Town	Draw	Slough
Our model	72%	16%	11%
Market	72%	17%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Billericay Town (rating 1545 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Billericay Town	Slough
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.25

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.88

2 (+1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +6’	1.25	5.25	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Billericay Town 2–2–2 Slough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/22 England National League South	Slough	1-1 HT 0-1	Billericay Town
16/10/21 England National League South	Billericay Town	2-1 HT 1-1	Slough
14/11/20 England National League South	Billericay Town	2-0 HT 0-0	Slough
11/01/20 England National League South	Billericay Town	2-2 HT 1-1	Slough
12/10/19 England National League South	Slough	3-1 HT 2-0	Billericay Town
16/03/19 England National League South	Slough	2-1 HT 1-1	Billericay Town

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	38	12	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	28	19	32
3	Salisbury FC	15	9	4	2	27	10	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
5	Farnham	16	9	2	5	32	20	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34	23	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	34	18	26
8	Chelmsford	16	5	10	1	25	17	25
9	Dag & Red	16	7	4	5	15	13	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	28	19	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	24	17	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	23	19	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
14	Weston Super Mare	15	6	3	6	25	22	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	17	29	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	13	33	17
18	Maidenhead Utd	16	3	7	6	15	20	16
19	Braintree Town	16	5	1	10	22	40	16
20	Hemel Hempstead	17	3	6	8	15	26	15
21	Chesham	15	3	2	10	20	33	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	19	37	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	11	36	8
24	Slough	16	2	1	13	18	40	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Billericay Town	Slough
Hemel Hempstead	5-0 W	0-2 L
Torquay	3-0 W	1-5 L
Dorking Wanderers	3-3 D	1-3 L
Salisbury FC	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Billericay Town (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Billericay Town

LDWDWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dag & Red England National League South	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
31/10	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	2-0	5-0	3	4	W
27/10	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
10/10	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/09	Torquay England National League South	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/09	Braintree Town England National League South	2-0	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
08/09	Chesham England National League South	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-2	3-3	6	4	D
31/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Slough

LWLDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Walton & Hersham England National League South	0-0	3-1	9	3	W
31/10	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-2	6	9	L
27/10	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
24/10	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-0	1-3	0	4	L
17/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Torquay England National League South	0-0	1-5	5	4	L
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Billericay Town vs Slough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Billericay Town win (72%). Probabilities: Billericay Town 72%, draw 17%, Slough 11%.

How many goals are expected in Billericay Town vs Slough?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Billericay Town 2.76 · Slough 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Billericay Town vs Slough?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.