Football · Spain La Liga · 21/11, 18:30
Prediction: Sevilla vs Real Betis
Team pages: Sevilla · Real Betis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Sevilla1.43
Real Betis1.59
1X2
Sevilla
Draw
Real Betis
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sevilla
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Real Betis
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sevilla
1–3–2
Real Betis
(6 last)
- Real Betis2-2Sevilla
- Sevilla0-2Real Betis
- Real Betis2-1Sevilla
- Sevilla1-0Real Betis
- Real Betis1-1Sevilla
- Sevilla1-1Real Betis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sevilla 1496 · Real Betis 1587
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1496 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Real Betis: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sevilla | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 3.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla 1–3–2 Real Betis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Sevilla |
| 30/11/25 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Real Betis |
| 30/03/25 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Sevilla |
| 06/10/24 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Betis |
| 28/04/24 Spain La Liga | Real Betis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sevilla |
| 12/11/23 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Betis |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sevilla | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Osasuna | 2-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Real Madrid | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Levante | 3-3 D | 2-5 L |
| Barcelona | 1-3 L | 2-5 L |
| Deportivo A Coruna | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Valencia | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sevilla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/10 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Real Betis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Betis win (40%). Probabilities: Sevilla 33%, draw 26%, Real Betis 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Sevilla 1.43 · Real Betis 1.59), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.