Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Portadown vs Bangor FC

Team pages: Portadown · Bangor FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Portadown1.52

Bangor FC1.18

1X2

45% 27% 29%

Portadown Draw Bangor FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Portadown 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLLDL

Bangor FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWWL

Head-to-head

Portadown 2–1–3 Bangor FC (6 last)

Bangor FC3-1Portadown
Bangor FC2-4Portadown
Bangor FC1-0Portadown
Portadown1-1Bangor FC
Portadown1-4Bangor FC
Bangor FC0-3Portadown

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portadown 1454 · Bangor FC 1459

	Portadown	Draw	Bangor FC
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bangor FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portadown	Bangor FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.2	2.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.5	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.00▼	Pinn 2.07
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.80 ★
2	2.90 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.17

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +7’	2.10	3.40	2.90
15:00 +5’	2.00▼	3.50▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +2’	2.07	3.80	3.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portadown 2–1–3 Bangor FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Portadown
25/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-4 HT 1-2	Portadown
17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Portadown
15/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Portadown	1-1 HT 1-0	Bangor FC
19/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Portadown	1-4 HT 1-2	Bangor FC
02/04/24 Northern Ireland Championship	Bangor FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Portadown

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Linfield	16	12	3	1	27	11	39
2	Coleraine	16	12	2	2	35	16	38
3	Larne FC	14	9	2	3	27	14	29
4	Glentoran	15	7	4	4	19	12	25
5	Cliftonville	16	7	0	9	28	21	21
6	Carrick Rangers	16	5	5	6	24	28	20
7	Crusaders	16	6	1	9	21	31	19
8	Dungannon Swifts	15	5	3	7	16	23	18
9	Limavady United	16	5	2	9	18	27	17
10	Ballymena Utd	14	4	4	6	18	20	16
11	Bangor FC	16	3	3	10	14	28	12
12	Portadown	16	2	3	11	12	28	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portadown	Bangor FC
Coleraine	0-3 L	2-3 L
Ballymena Utd	1-1 D	1-0 W
Larne FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Linfield	1-2 L	0-2 L
Glentoran	0-0 D	1-2 L
Limavady United	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Portadown (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portadown

DLLWDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/11	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
07/11	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
30/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
23/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
17/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
09/10	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
03/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	3-1	5	7	W
26/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
19/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
15/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	6	2	D

Bangor FC

LWLLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/11	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
07/11	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
31/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
24/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
17/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
10/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
04/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
26/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-3	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portadown vs Bangor FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portadown win (45%). Probabilities: Portadown 45%, draw 27%, Bangor FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Portadown vs Bangor FC?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Portadown 1.52 · Bangor FC 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Portadown vs Bangor FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.