Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 21/11, 13:00

Prediction: Hannover 96 vs Greuther Furth

Team pages: Hannover 96 · Greuther Furth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Hannover 961.91

Greuther Furth1.16

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Hannover 96 Draw Greuther Furth

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hannover 96 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Greuther Furth 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hannover 96 2–2–2 Greuther Furth (6 last)

Hannover 961-2Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth2-2Hannover 96
Hannover 961-1Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth1-0Hannover 96
Hannover 962-1Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth1-3Hannover 96

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hannover 96 1487 · Greuther Furth 1468

	Hannover 96	Draw	Greuther Furth
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hannover 96	Greuther Furth
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	3.5 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.21 ★
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.21

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:02 +15’	1.70	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +5’	1.75	4.21	4.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hannover 96 2–2–2 Greuther Furth

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Hannover 96	1-2 HT 0-1	Greuther Furth
05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Greuther Furth	2-2 HT 1-1	Hannover 96
11/05/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Hannover 96	1-1 HT 0-1	Greuther Furth
15/12/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Greuther Furth	1-0 HT 0-0	Hannover 96
16/02/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Hannover 96	2-1 HT 0-1	Greuther Furth
03/09/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Greuther Furth	1-3 HT 0-2	Hannover 96

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	11	10	1	0	25	9	31
2	Nurnberg	11	7	3	1	26	13	24
3	Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	10	7	21
4	Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	25	14	20
5	Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	26	16	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	18	16	17
7	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	19	20	16
8	Bochum	11	4	2	5	11	13	14
9	St Pauli	11	2	6	3	13	16	12
10	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	13	19	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	12	18	12
12	Cottbus	11	2	5	4	18	20	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
14	VfL Osnabruck	11	3	2	6	14	18	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	15	20	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	15	24	11
17	Darmstadt	11	2	3	6	9	21	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	11	14	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hannover 96	Greuther Furth
Heidenheim	2-2 D	0-1 L
Dynamo Dresden	2-1 W	0-3 L
Eintracht Braunschweig	0-2 L	2-0 W
Magdeburg	0-3 L	1-1 D
Bochum	2-1 W	1-1 D
Nurnberg	1-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hannover 96 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hannover 96

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
01/11	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
25/10	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
17/10	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
10/10	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
20/09	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
11/09	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
04/09	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
16/08	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Greuther Furth

LWLDDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
01/11	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
25/10	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
17/10	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
11/10	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-2	12	2	L
18/09	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
12/09	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
06/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	4-3	6	4	W
15/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	2-4	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hannover 96 vs Greuther Furth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hannover 96 win (54%). Probabilities: Hannover 96 54%, draw 24%, Greuther Furth 22%.

How many goals are expected in Hannover 96 vs Greuther Furth?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Hannover 96 1.91 · Greuther Furth 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Greuther Furth?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.