Football · Scotland League One · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Peterhead vs East Kilbride

Team pages: Peterhead · East Kilbride

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Peterhead1.23
East Kilbride1.92
1X2
23% 24% 53%
Peterhead Draw East Kilbride
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterhead 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
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East Kilbride 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWWDDLWW
Head-to-head
Peterhead 0–1–1 East Kilbride (2 last)
  • East Kilbride3-1Peterhead
  • Peterhead2-2East Kilbride
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterhead 1449 · East Kilbride 1540
PeterheadDrawEast Kilbride
Our model23%24%52%
Market24%24%53%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1449 vs 1540).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterheadEast Kilbride
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 21.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.80.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.53 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.14.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 0–1–1 East Kilbride

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Scotland League One
East Kilbride3-1
HT 1-0
Peterhead
22/01/22
Scotland FA Cup
Peterhead2-2
HT 2-1
East Kilbride

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 151320 511041
2 Hamilton 151032 281233
3 East Kilbride 14734 271924
4 Montrose 15627 192620
5 Airdrieonians 15546 152219
6 East Fife 15465 141718
7 Cove Rangers 14437 171815
8 Peterhead 154110 122613
9 Queen of South 154110 144013
10 Alloa 15339 162312

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterheadEast Kilbride
East Fife 0-1 L 3-0 W
Ross County 1-4 L 1-2 L
Alloa 2-1 W 4-1 W
Montrose 0-3 L 1-1 D
Queen of South 0-1 L 2-1 W
Hamilton 1-2 L 0-1 L
Airdrieonians 1-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 6 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterhead

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 66 L
07/11 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 1-4 37 L
31/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 64 W
24/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
17/10 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 66 W
10/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 36 L
03/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-0 1-2 22 L
19/09 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 96 L
12/09 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-1 1-3 26 L
05/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L

East Kilbride

LLWWWDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 Alloa
Scotland League One
2-0 4-1 51 W
07/11 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-1 2-1 45 W
31/10 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 64 L
17/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 135 D
10/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
2-1 2-2 67 D
03/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 3-0 45 W
19/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 75 W
12/09 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 3-1 46 W
05/09 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 116 L
29/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-4 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs East Kilbride?

According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (53%). Probabilities: Peterhead 23%, draw 24%, East Kilbride 53%.

How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs East Kilbride?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Peterhead 1.23 · East Kilbride 1.92), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterhead vs East Kilbride?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.