Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 22/11, 14:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Elfsborg

Team pages: BK Hacken · Elfsborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

BK Hacken1.58

Elfsborg1.06

1X2

49% 26% 25%

BK Hacken Draw Elfsborg

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWDWL

Elfsborg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDDWL

Head-to-head

BK Hacken 3–1–2 Elfsborg (6 last)

Elfsborg0-1BK Hacken
Elfsborg1-1BK Hacken
BK Hacken1-2Elfsborg
Elfsborg0-2BK Hacken
Elfsborg5-1BK Hacken
Elfsborg1-3BK Hacken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1553 · Elfsborg 1521

	BK Hacken	Draw	Elfsborg
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours BK Hacken: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken	Elfsborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.9	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.87
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.17 ★
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:45 +28’	1.85	3.70	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +7’	1.87	4.17	3.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 3–1–2 Elfsborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/26 Club Friendly List	Elfsborg	0-1 HT 0-1	BK Hacken
25/05/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-1 HT 0-1	BK Hacken
03/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	1-2 HT 0-0	Elfsborg
06/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	0-2 HT 0-1	BK Hacken
06/12/24 Europe Friendlies	Elfsborg	5-1 HT 2-1	BK Hacken
19/10/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Elfsborg	1-3 HT 0-1	BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby	28	18	4	6	60	23	58
2	Sirius	28	18	4	6	58	35	58
3	Djurgarden	28	16	4	8	56	27	52
4	BK Hacken	28	13	10	5	50	33	49
5	Elfsborg	28	12	10	6	42	31	46
6	Vasteras SK	28	13	6	9	40	38	45
7	Malmo FF	28	12	5	11	42	36	41
8	AIK	28	11	8	9	46	49	41
9	GAIS	28	11	7	10	36	28	40
10	IFK Goteborg	28	10	9	9	36	46	39
11	Brommapojkarna	28	9	8	11	39	44	35
12	Mjällby AIF	28	6	10	12	30	43	28
13	Kalmar FF	28	7	5	16	24	42	26
14	Degerfors	28	5	5	18	23	48	20
15	Orgryte IS	28	4	8	16	33	60	20
16	Halmstad	28	5	5	18	20	52	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken	Elfsborg
AIK	2-3 L	2-2 D
Brommapojkarna	0-0 D	1-2 L
Degerfors	4-0 W	2-0 W
Malmo FF	1-0 W	0-0 D
Orgryte IS	3-0 W	2-1 W
Kalmar FF	5-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken

LDDWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-3	4	4	L
01/11	IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
28/10	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
24/10	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	4-0	4-0	3	2	W
18/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
11/10	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	4	W
20/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	5-0	4	1	W
11/09	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
05/09	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L

Elfsborg

WLWWWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-4	2	2	L
01/11	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	12	4	W
27/10	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-2	10	3	D
23/10	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
18/10	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-2	8	4	D
12/10	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
20/09	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
13/09	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
06/09	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Elfsborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (49%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 49%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 25%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Elfsborg?

The model expects 2.64 goals (BK Hacken 1.58 · Elfsborg 1.06), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Elfsborg?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.