Football · Denmark Superligaen · 22/11, 14:00

Prediction: Viborg vs Randers FC

Team pages: Viborg · Randers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Viborg2.08

Randers FC1.1

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Viborg Draw Randers FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Viborg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWLLWW

Randers FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Viborg 2–4 Randers FC (6 last)

Randers FC0-2Viborg
Randers FC2-0Viborg
Viborg3-2Randers FC
Randers FC2-1Viborg
Viborg1-2Randers FC
Randers FC3-1Viborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viborg 1515 · Randers FC 1439

	Viborg	Draw	Randers FC
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	59%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viborg (rating 1515 vs 1439).
H2H favours Randers FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viborg	Randers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.58
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.50 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:56 +17’	1.57	4.10	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +6’	1.58	4.50	5.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viborg 2–0–4 Randers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/10/26 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Viborg
13/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Randers FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Viborg
02/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	Viborg	3-2 HT 2-2	Randers FC
05/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Viborg
01/12/24 Denmark Superligaen	Viborg	1-2 HT 0-1	Randers FC
28/07/24 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Viborg

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	14	10	2	2	29	12	32
2	Midtjylland	14	9	5	0	29	17	32
3	Viborg	14	8	2	4	22	13	26
4	FC Nordsjaelland	14	6	5	3	26	18	23
5	Brondby	14	7	1	6	23	21	22
6	Odense BK	14	4	5	5	16	19	17
7	AC Horsens	14	4	4	6	23	23	16
8	AGF Aarhus	14	3	6	5	19	21	15
9	Silkeborg IF	14	3	6	5	18	24	15
10	Lyngby	14	2	5	7	19	29	11
11	Randers FC	14	3	2	9	14	27	11
12	Sonderjyske	14	2	3	9	19	33	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viborg	Randers FC
Odense BK	2-1 W	1-2 L
AC Horsens	1-0 W	0-0 D
AGF Aarhus	1-2 L	2-1 W
Midtjylland	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Nordsjaelland	4-1 W	1-6 L
Lyngby	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viborg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viborg

WWLDWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
01/11	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
25/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
19/10	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
11/10	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
20/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	3-1	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
04/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
28/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
23/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	1	3	W

Randers FC

LWWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-6	0	0	L
30/10	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
23/10	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
16/10	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
11/10	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
20/09	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
13/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
06/09	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
30/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viborg vs Randers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viborg win (59%). Probabilities: Viborg 59%, draw 23%, Randers FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Viborg vs Randers FC?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Viborg 2.08 · Randers FC 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Viborg vs Randers FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.