Football · India Super League · 21/11, 15:00
Prediction: Northeast United vs FC Goa
Team pages: Northeast United · FC Goa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Northeast United1.83
FC Goa0.97
1X2
Northeast United
Draw
FC Goa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Northeast United
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FC Goa
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Northeast United
2–3–1
FC Goa
(6 last)
- Northeast United0-2FC Goa
- FC Goa1-2Northeast United
- Northeast United1-1FC Goa
- FC Goa3-3Northeast United
- FC Goa0-2Northeast United
- Northeast United1-1FC Goa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northeast United (rating 1554 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Northeast United: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northeast United | FC Goa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northeast United 2–3–1 FC Goa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 India Super League | Northeast United | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Goa |
| 01/11/25 India Super Cup | FC Goa | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Northeast United |
| 14/01/25 India Super League | Northeast United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Goa |
| 04/10/24 India Super League | FC Goa | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Northeast United |
| 21/02/24 India Super League | FC Goa | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Northeast United |
| 29/12/23 India Super League | Northeast United | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Goa |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan SG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Northeast United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Sporting Club Delhi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | Punjab FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | East Bengal Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Goa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Chennaiyin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Churchill Brothers SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Mumbai City FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Odisha FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northeast United | FC Goa |
|---|---|---|
| Bengaluru | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Odisha FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Kerala Blasters | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Mohun Bagan SG | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Chennaiyin FC | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Inter Kashi FC | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Northeast United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northeast United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Churchill Brothers SC India Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/10 | Bengaluru India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Goa India Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
FC Goa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Bengaluru India Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Northeast United India Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northeast United vs FC Goa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Northeast United win (56%). Probabilities: Northeast United 56%, draw 25%, FC Goa 19%.
How many goals are expected in Northeast United vs FC Goa?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Northeast United 1.83 · FC Goa 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Northeast United vs FC Goa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.