Football · Austria Bundesliga · 21/11, 17:00

Prediction: LASK Linz vs Hartberg

Team pages: LASK Linz · Hartberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

LASK Linz2.73

Hartberg1.06

1X2

72% 17% 12%

LASK Linz Draw Hartberg

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

LASK Linz 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWLWW

Hartberg 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLWWW

Head-to-head

LASK Linz 2–4–0 Hartberg (6 last)

Hartberg3-3LASK Linz
Hartberg1-5LASK Linz
LASK Linz0-0Hartberg
Hartberg2-2LASK Linz
LASK Linz3-3Hartberg
LASK Linz2-0Hartberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LASK Linz 1566 · Hartberg 1543

	LASK Linz	Draw	Hartberg
Our model	72%	17%	12%
Market	72%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LASK Linz: 2-4-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LASK Linz	Hartberg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 6.16
2	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 9.18 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:37 +52’	1.28	5.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +5’	1.25	6.40	9.14
01:20 +4’	1.26▲	6.16▼	9.18▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LASK Linz 2–4–0 Hartberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	3-3 HT 0-2	LASK Linz
26/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	1-5 HT 0-2	LASK Linz
13/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	0-0 HT 0-0	Hartberg
06/12/25 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	2-2 HT 2-1	LASK Linz
05/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	3-3 HT 0-1	Hartberg
26/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	2-0 HT 1-0	Hartberg

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	12	11	0	1	39	9	33
2	FC Salzburg	12	9	3	0	33	9	30
3	LASK Linz	12	8	1	3	30	15	25
4	Hartberg	12	6	2	4	23	19	20
5	SK Sturm Graz	12	5	4	3	22	17	19
6	SV Ried	12	4	4	4	21	22	16
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	12	3	4	5	15	18	13
8	Austria Lustenau	12	3	2	7	15	30	11
9	Grazer AK	12	2	4	6	9	29	10
10	SCR Altach	12	3	1	8	11	20	10
11	FK Austria Vienna	12	2	2	8	11	23	8
12	Wolfsberger AC	12	1	3	8	8	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LASK Linz	Hartberg
SV Ried	4-2 W	3-2 W
WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-1 W	2-2 D
Austria Lustenau	4-0 W	4-3 W
Rapid Vienna	0-2 L	1-3 L
Wolfsberger AC	3-1 W	1-0 W
SCR Altach	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: LASK Linz (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LASK Linz

WWWLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	2-2	4-2	3	1	W
31/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-1	1	7	W
25/10	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
17/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	0-0	4-0	12	2	W
11/10	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
20/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-3	9	4	D
13/09	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
01/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	14	5	W
29/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
14/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	3-1	4-1	6	4	W

Hartberg

LWWDDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	8	2	W
30/10	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	2-0	4-0	4	5	W
24/10	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	9	0	W
16/10	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
11/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	4-3	4	1	W
20/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	3-3	1	4	D
13/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-0	2-2	5	0	D
30/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
22/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LASK Linz win (72%). Probabilities: LASK Linz 72%, draw 17%, Hartberg 12%.

How many goals are expected in LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

The model expects 3.79 goals (LASK Linz 2.73 · Hartberg 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.